Created due to other markets being far more bearish for the Tories than I expected! Alternatively (https://manifold.markets/embed/Tomoffer/will-the-conservatives-tories-win-m-4f8a1f93b653)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Tomoffer/will-the-conservatives-tories-win-m)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Tomoffer/will-the-conservatives-tories-win-m-c064235d18b7)

No — resolved on Jul 5, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 160 seats at the next UK general election?

107

Ṁ1kṀ28k

resolved Jul 5

Resolved

ALL

Created due to other markets being far more bearish for the Tories than I expected!

Alternatively

UK General Election 2024

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,130
2		Ṁ577
3		Ṁ398
4		Ṁ375
5		Ṁ317

People are also trading

What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?

Will Labour get more than 200 seats in the next UK House of Commons election?

56% chance

How many seats will the largest party win in the next UK general election?

291

If the Conservatives get ≥100 seats in the next general election, will the PM at the end of 2027 be Labour?

64% chance

Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?

39% chance

Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?

73% chance

Sort by:

sold Ṁ57 YES

I got RINSED on this one

bought Ṁ50 NO

The way the Tories are doing, they would probably regards 160 seats as a lot better than expected.

This polling is pre-Farage, IMO it should now be treated as best case for the Conservatives.

@Noit I never thought I'd root for the Tories but I'm down a lot of mana here 😅

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 20% order

Simon Grayson boughtṀ200NO

Huh. Really? Threat from Reform?

predictedYES

They got 165 in the labour landslide in 1997. I think <161 is what would be referred to as a "drubbing".

It would. having said that, I think they'll be lucky to get 100 seats. In one poll they has a lower vote share than Reform.

Yeah I just heard! Astonishing.

People are also trading

What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?

Will Labour get more than 200 seats in the next UK House of Commons election?

56% chance

How many seats will the largest party win in the next UK general election?

291

If the Conservatives get ≥100 seats in the next general election, will the PM at the end of 2027 be Labour?

64% chance

Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?

39% chance

Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?

73% chance

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions