Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 160 seats at the next UK general election?

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resolved Jul 5

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Created due to other markets being far more bearish for the Tories than I expected!

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sold Ṁ57 YES

I got RINSED on this one

bought Ṁ50 NO

The way the Tories are doing, they would probably regards 160 seats as a lot better than expected.

This polling is pre-Farage, IMO it should now be treated as best case for the Conservatives.

@Noit I never thought I'd root for the Tories but I'm down a lot of mana here 😅

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 20% order

Simon Grayson boughtṀ200NO

Huh. Really? Threat from Reform?

predictedYES

They got 165 in the labour landslide in 1997. I think <161 is what would be referred to as a "drubbing".

It would. having said that, I think they'll be lucky to get 100 seats. In one poll they has a lower vote share than Reform.

Yeah I just heard! Astonishing.

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