UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? (Cumulative Market)
112
5kṀ110kresolved Jul 6
Resolved
YESMore than 202 seats (What Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party achieved at the 2019 election)
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YESMore than 232 seats (What Ed Miliband's Labour Party achieved at the 2015 election)
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YESMore than 258 seats (What Gordon Brown's Labour Party achieved at the 2010 election)
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YESMore than 262 seats (What Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party achieved at the 2017 election)
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YESMore than 271 seats (What Neil Kinnock's Labour Party achieved at the 1992 election)
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YESMore than 306 seats (What David Cameron's Conservative Party achieved at the 2010 election)
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YESMore than 317 seats (What Theresa May's Conservative Party achieved at the 2017 election)
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YESMore than 339 seats (What Margaret Thatcher's Conservative Party achieved at the 1979 election)
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YESMore than 355 seats (What Tony Blair's Labour Party achieved at the 2005 election)
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YESMore than 365 seats (What Boris Johnson's Conservative Party achieved at the 2019 election)
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YESMore than 376 seats (What Margaret Thatcher's Conservative Party achieved at the 1987 election)
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YESMore than 385 seats
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YESMore than 397 seats (What Margaret Thatcher's Conservative Party achieved at the 1983 election)
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NOMore than 412 seats (What Tony Blair's Labour Party achieved at the 2001 election)
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NOMore than 418 seats (What Tony Blair's Labour Party achieved at the 1997 election)
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NOMore than 425 seats
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NOMore than 430 seats
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NOMore than 435 seats
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NOMore than 441 seats (What the Earl Grey's Whigs achieved at the 1832 election)
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NOMore than 470 seats (What Stanley Baldwin's Conservative Party achieved at the 1931 election)
This is a cumulative-independent market, which is probably the best way to represent these kinds of markets. This also uses previous general election results as benchmarks, which is also I think one of the better ways to represent these kinds of markets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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