Resolves positively if the @realdonaldtrump account tweets with Trump's implied approval, even if the tweet was written by an intern. Does not resolve positively if the account is hacked or tweets apparently without Trump's approval.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,902 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,033 | |
| 3 | Ṁ758 | |
| 4 | Ṁ626 | |
| 5 | Ṁ432 |
As it was pointed out in the other market(https://manifold.markets/Recruiter/-will-donald-trump-tweet-in-2024#a915a1bcd7) this is an ad and not a real tweet. Blame Elon Musk and Twitter's weird UI.
Trump posted it as a real tweet now, which actually shows up on his timeline: https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1823016427680358790
On one hand he desperately needs to keep truth social relevant due to his humongous personal stake in it, on the other he may get so desperate for attention that he uses Twitter again for his rigged election narrative if he loses.
Seems too high right now maybe? He has only tweeted once so far right?, when his mugshot was taken. If doesn't get arrested in 2024 there is a good chance he won't tweet. And the chance that he won't get arrested isn't 7%.
(edit: I can’t read)