Which Twitter-Figures will make it to Masters League by 2025, conditional on becoming active on Manifold?
36
1.5kṀ4859
resolved Jun 26
Resolved
N/A
Jimmy Apples
Resolved
N/A
Ezra Klein
Resolved
N/A
Martin Shrkeli
Resolved
N/A
Tyler Cowen
Resolved
N/A
Alice from Queens
Resolved
N/A
Roon
Resolved
N/A
Noah Smith
Resolved
N/A
eigenrobot
Resolved
N/A
Vaush
Resolved
N/A
Matthew Yglesias
Resolved
N/A
Nate Silver
Resolved
N/A
Destiny (Steven Bonnell ii)
Resolved
N/A
Flowers from the future
Resolved
NO
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Resolved
NO
Scott Alexander

Please submit people who are notable for having opinions on Twitter, and might conceivably be the kind of person who would use Manifold.

If they start using Manifold and get into Masters by 2025, their name resolves yes.

If they don't join or don't get to at least Gold(to show they are active), their name resolves N/A.

If they join and get to Gold but not to Masters, their name resolves no. You can also submit people already on Manifold who haven't made it into Masters, like Eliezer.

I will also N/A any names that I think are incredibly unlikely to become active on Manifold, like Elon.

If Leagues is restructered, they need to get into whatever league I judge to be most equivalent to making it into Masters in December 2023.

As far as I know, only @ZviMowshowitz has done this successfully. Who else from Twitter would do well at Manifold?

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