Swing States

Prize Market

Plus

Will Trump beat Biden in national polling at the beginning of June? (538)YES

Will Trump beat Biden in these swing state polls on November 1st?

Resolved

N/A

Michigan

Resolved

N/A

Wisconsin

Resolved

N/A

Pennsylvania

Resolved

N/A

Nevada

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Mini

Which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 US presidential election?

30%

Pennsylvania

24%

Wisconsin

11%

Michigan

6%

Arizona

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Which of these swing states will have a split ticket? (Voting for different parties for President and Senator/Governor)

20%

Maryland (Presidency and Senate)

35%

Wisconsin (Presidency and Senate)

37%

Pennsylvania (Presidency and Senate)

41%

Michigan (Presidency and Senate)

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What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

0.6%

D by 215+

1.1%

D by 155-214

2%

D by 105-154

10%

D by 65-104

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2024 Wisconsin Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data on the 2024 Wisconsin Election between Trump and Biden with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes.

Plus

Which party will win the US Presidency in Wisconsin?

51%

Democratic Party

49%

Republican Party

0.1%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Wisconsin in 2024?

68%

Democratic Party

32%

Republican Party

0%

Other

2024 Pennsylvania Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data on the 2024 Pennsylvania Election between Trump and Biden with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes.

Plus

Which party will win the US Presidency in Pennsylvania?

49%

Democratic Party

51%

Republican Party

0%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Pennsylvania in 2024?

75%

Democratic Party

25%

Republican Party

0.2%

Other

Will Pennsylvania be federally all Blue in 2024?53% chance

Mini

Will Democrats win more House seats in Pennsylvania than Republicans in 2024?62% chance

2024 Nevada Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data on the 2024 Nevada Election between Trump and Biden with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes.

Plus

Which party will win the US Presidency in Nevada?

42%

Democratic Party

58%

Republican Party

0.1%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Nevada in 2024?

57%

Democratic Party

43%

Republican Party

0.1%

Other

2024 Arizona Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data on the 2024 Arizona Election between Trump and Biden with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes.

Plus

Which party will win the US Presidency in Arizona?

41%

Democratic Party

59%

Republican Party

0%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Arizona in 2024?

64%

Democratic Party

36%

Republican Party

0%

Other

2024 Michigan Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data on the 2024 Michigan Election between Trump and Biden with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes.

Plus

Which party will win the US Presidency in Michigan?

53%

Democratic Party

47%

Republican Party

0.1%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Michigan in 2024?

60%

Democratic Party

40%

Republican Party

0%

Other

Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?50% chance

2024 North Carolina Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data on the 2024 North Carolina Election between Trump and Biden with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes.

Which party will win the US Presidency in North Carolina?

30%

Democratic Party

70%

Republican Party

0.1%

Other

North Carolina Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2024?

68%

Democratic Party

32%

Republican Party

0.1%

Other

2024 New Hampshire: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 New Hampshire: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 Georgia Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data on the 2024 Georgia Election between Trump and Biden with RealClearPolling. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes.