🚀 Starship Launch

When will there be a 4th Starship launch?

1%

2024-05-10

2%

2024-05-15

6%

2024-05-20

26%

2024-05-25

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#New Year's Resolutions 2024

Will the 3rd Starship test activate the Flight Termination System?NO

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How far will the 3rd Starship test get before exploding?

Resolved

YES

Clears the launch tower

Resolved

YES

Max Q

Resolved

YES

Main engine cut-off (MECO)

Resolved

YES

Second stage engine start (SES)

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Will the 3rd Starship test survive reentry?

100%99.8%

Explodes during reentry

0.0%

Explodes before reentry

0.2%

Survives reentry

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Will SpaceX’s 3rd Starship test flight have a “rapid unscheduled disassembly“ (of either stage)?YES

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FAA grants license for SpaceX's March 14 Starship launch

The FAA has awarded a license for the third-ever launch of SpaceX's Starship megarocket, which is scheduled for 9:02 a.m. ET on Thursday (March 14).

By when will there be a 3rd Starship launch?

Resolved

NO

2024-01-01

Resolved

NO

2024-02-01

Resolved

NO

Before 2024-02-15

Resolved

NO

Before 2024-02-20

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Will Starship–SuperHeavy IFT-3 launch on the first attempt?YES

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How many launch attempts will it take for the 3rd SpaceX Starship flight test to launch?

100%99.9%

1

0.1%

2

0.0%

3

0.0%Other

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Will the 3rd Starship test fly higher than the 2nd (149km)?YES

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Will Starship successfully relight and burn a Raptor engine while in space?

100%99.8%

Relight is not attempted

0.2%

Successful (relights and burns until intended shutdown)

0.1%

Unsuccessful

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Will the 3rd Starship test reach at least 200km altitude? (plan is 235km)YES

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Will there be a SpaceX Starship launch in the first quarter of 2024?YES

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