Will SpaceX’s 5th Starship test flight have a “rapid unscheduled disassembly“?
28
10kṀ36k
resolved Oct 13
Resolved
NO
Booster RUD
Resolved
NO
Starship (upper stage) RUD

Resolves YES if the next (5th) Starship integrated flight test has an unplanned explosion or breakup, known as a "rapid unscheduled/unplanned disassembly (RUD)".

The upper stage and booster each resolve separately to whether they each have a RUD.

  • Being destroyed on contact with the surface as planned is not a RUD.

  • Other examples of things that aren't sufficient to count as a RUD: a part flying off without causing the breakup of the rocket, or a single engine having a fire.

  • Exploding on the pad before the launch would also count as a RUD.

  • We'll use a common sense definition here. The sources for resolution will be SpaceX, media, prominent space youtubers, etc. In case it isn't clear then I'll run a poll.

  • This question is about the next Starship mission with a planned trajectory that reaches space (100km altitude) - any low altitude test does not count for example. The close date is not a deadline, the question resolves when the flight occurs.

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