Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first five Starship flights?
29
115
Ṁ7.8KṀ570
2026
10%
chance
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A catch here will be defined as the booster sitting on the chopsticks after the landing.
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@Bayesian Well... he said it's possible if everything goes perfectly. He didn't seem that confident that it will definitely happen on flight 5, just that it's within the realm of possibility. Personally that makes me update to "Yes" on this year, but not that much to Yes on flight 5. (Though, more than the 3% it was at)
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