
Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first five Starship flights?
96
1kแน36kresolved Oct 13
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A catch here will be defined as the booster sitting on the chopsticks after the landing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
๐ Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | แน2,641 | |
2 | แน1,735 | |
3 | แน1,584 | |
4 | แน1,462 | |
5 | แน924 |
People are also trading
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Will anyone propulsively land an orbital-class rocket booster within a decade of SpaceX?
44% chance
Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
1% chance
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
1% chance
Will there be four or more SpaceX Starship launches in the second half of 2025?
1% chance
Will SpaceX manage to deliver the Starship on time in 2025 according to its agreement with NASA?
16% chance
๐ Will SpaceX Achieve 150 Successful Launches In 2025?
92% chance
Sort by:
@Bayesian Well... he said it's possible if everything goes perfectly. He didn't seem that confident that it will definitely happen on flight 5, just that it's within the realm of possibility. Personally that makes me update to "Yes" on this year, but not that much to Yes on flight 5. (Though, more than the 3% it was at)
Comment hidden
People are also trading
Related questions
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Will anyone propulsively land an orbital-class rocket booster within a decade of SpaceX?
44% chance
Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
1% chance
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
1% chance
Will there be four or more SpaceX Starship launches in the second half of 2025?
1% chance
Will SpaceX manage to deliver the Starship on time in 2025 according to its agreement with NASA?
16% chance
๐ Will SpaceX Achieve 150 Successful Launches In 2025?
92% chance