Lunar Exploration 2020s

Will Intuitive Machine's IM-2 mission successfully land on the moon?70% chance

#Space exploration

Will the IM-2 lunar lander soft-land upright on the moon?66% chance

#Commercial spaceflight

Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?72% chance

#Space exploration

Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2024?

88%

Chang'e 6

76%

IM-2

64%

Blue Ghost

50%

Hakuto-R 2

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#Space exploration

SpaceXpectations 2024: Which of these missions will happen on schedule?

12%

Polaris Dawn in Q2

69%

GOES-U in Q2

87%

NASA Crew-9 in Q3

16%

Axiom Mission 4 in Q3

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Will Starship go to the Moon before 2026?42% chance

Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?6% chance

#Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?39% chance

#Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing

#Artemis program

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?62% chance

#Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing

#Artemis program

Will CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?60% chance

#Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing

Which country would land the next person on the moon?

70%

United States of America

22%

China

6%

India

0.3%

Other

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#Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?74% chance

#Future US Presidents

Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?33% chance

#Space exploration

Will there be a moon base by 2030?17% chance

Will any other lunar landers soft touchdown in an unintended orientation in 2024?31% chance

Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?70% chance

#Artemis program

Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?10% chance

#Artemis program

Will there be a permanently inhabited Moon base by 2040?25% chance

#Space exploration

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