NASA's Artemis lunar exploration program has several goals to achieve while the astronauts are on the Moon during the Artemis 3 mission. One of them is to find and use water, needed for long-term explorations.
Scientists have predicted in the 1960s that there would be water on the Moon's poles, probably as ice. India's first lunar mission, in 2008, helped confirm that there is indeed water on the moon, like ice. The challenge now is to find this water and make it usable, as water is a heavy thing to bring on space missions, and having it on-site would make missions easier and cheaper.
If, during the Artemis 3 mission, astronauts manage to find and to use lunar water this question will be resolved as "yes".
@Predictor hasn't posted a comment in 4 months, so I don't think this market will get any clearer conditions.