Will any other lunar landers soft touchdown in an unintended orientation in 2024?
8
1kṀ164
resolved Nov 30
Resolved
NO

So far in 2024 both JAXA's SLIM lander and Intuitive Machine's Odysseus lander have landed intact but in an unintended orientation

This market resolves yes if another lunar lander does the same before the end of 2024

The lander does not have to transmit data to be considered a soft touchdown but there needs to be evidence that at least the majority of the lander remains intact

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Resolving NO given that there are no more known lunar landers attempting a landing in 2024 (see: this and this); and the % of a secret unannounced lander (or that I somehow missed one in my searching) AND a short transit AND a soft touchdown AND an unintended orientation is sufficiently low for me to be confident in its resolution

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