This market was inspired by @Sailfish markets but without the additional "success" criteria for the payloads.
https://www.intuitivemachines.com/missions
https://www.nasa.gov/event/intuitive-machines-clps-flight-im-2/
https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/nmc/spacecraft/display.action?id=PRIME-1
Since the purpose of the mission is to drill into the surface of the moon, landing upright will be crucial.
Resolution Criteria:
-The IM-2 lander must soft land land successfully and return telemetry data for this market to resolve YES.
-Market will resolve NO if the IM-2 lander does not land upright
-Market will resolve NO if the IM-2 lander crash lands
-Market will resolve NO if the team cannot communicate with the lander and retrieve telemetry data about the orientation of the landing.
Shown below is an example of the "upright" orientation.
Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Threshold Clarification:
The lander must land with a tilt of no more than 10 degrees from an upright orientation.
All 6 legs must be planted on the surface to ensure that drilling can be performed.
1,000@traders The lunar lander is on it's way to the moon. Place your final bets before March 6th and please share if you like this market. Good luck!
https://investors.intuitivemachines.com/news-releases/news-release-details/intuitive-machines-im-2-lunar-lander-successfully-commissioned
"The lander is in excellent health and preparing for a series of planned main engine firings to refine her trajectory ahead of lunar orbit insertion, which is planned for March 3. Intuitive Machines expects a lunar landing opportunity on March 6."
@CommanderZander there are some nuances with a 'tilted' landing, but I'll answer any scenarios you have in mind.
@EstMtz What’s the threshold for a landing counting as tilted? It sounds like 30 degrees is enough, but presumably 2 degrees wouldn’t be?
@sesquipedalianThaumaturge since there will be drilling involved, I'm assuming all 6 legs of the lander will need to be planted on the surface. I can imagine scenarios where the lander is slightly tilted, but all 6 legs are on the surface and drilling is possible. I'll set the threshold for this market at 10 degrees.
Are you ready for another launch to the Moon? For the second time,
@Int_Machines will launch a lunar lander to deliver @NASA_Technology
to the Moon. IM-2 will launch from @NASAKennedy aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9
rocket no earlier than late February. https://go.nasa.gov/3CqEAs5