The article https://chrisprophet.substack.com/p/spacexpectations-2024 predicts which quarter of the year a number of upcoming SpaceX missions will launch in. Which of these predictions are accurate, and which missions will slip to the right?
Options resolve YES if that mission launches in or before the given quarter, NO if the given quarter ends without the mission launching. "Launch" is defined for this market as the rocket going above the launch tower under its own power.
1,000
3.00https://x.com/SpaceX/status/1845874986193723732
Deployment of @NASA’s Europa Clipper spacecraft confirmed
Think that is enough to resolve Europa Clipper launch this quarter. @Multicore
@ChristopherRandles Yeah, seems safe to call early, with official sources saying NET late 2025. https://spaceflightnow.com/2024/07/18/nasa-cancels-half-billion-dollar-water-ice-seeking-moon-rover/
Europa clipper has some reported issues that might cause a slip. https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/07/nasas-flagship-mission-to-europa-has-a-problem-vulnerability-to-radiation/
GOES-U delayed to June 25 https://www.teslarati.com/the-falcon-heavy-launch-of-the-goes-u-satellite-delayed/
[Linked to wrong trade oops]