SpaceXpectations 2024: Which of these missions will happen on schedule?
19
391
Ṁ5.9KṀ1.3K
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
32%
Polaris Dawn in Q2
69%
GOES-U in Q2
87%
NASA Crew-9 in Q3
6%
Axiom Mission 4 in Q3
72%
Europa Clipper in Q4
25%
Griffin Mission 1 in Q4
Resolved
YESAxiom Mission 3 in Q1
Resolved
YESIntuitive Machines Mission 1 in Q1
Resolved
YESNASA Crew-8 in Q1
Resolved
YESStarship IFT-3 in Q1
The article https://chrisprophet.substack.com/p/spacexpectations-2024 predicts which quarter of the year a number of upcoming SpaceX missions will launch in. Which of these predictions are accurate, and which missions will slip to the right?
Options resolve YES if that mission launches in or before the given quarter, NO if the given quarter ends without the mission launching. "Launch" is defined for this market as the rocket going above the launch tower under its own power.
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GOES-U delayed to June 25 https://www.teslarati.com/the-falcon-heavy-launch-of-the-goes-u-satellite-delayed/
boughtṀ150Intuitive Machines M... YES
boughtṀ80NASA Crew-8 in Q1 YES
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