LK-99

1.5k

PCPOSOS presentation prop bets [March 4th]

Resolved

NO

The main LK-99 market hits 10%

Resolved

NO

The main LK-99 market hits 25%

Resolved

YES

Presentation claims they've measured literally 0 resistivity in PCPOSOS

Resolved

YES

Presentation claims they've measured any drop in resistivity in PCPOSOS

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1.1k

[Kalshi] Will near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal this year?NO

22k

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?NO

8.8k

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?NO

Possible Meissner effect near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite

Abstract page for arXiv paper 2401.00999: Possible Meissner effect near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite

1.2k

Will we have a superconductor at room-temperature and pressure by end of 2030?6% chance

New paper on near room temperature super conductor (250K)

1.7k

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?NO

1k

Will any lead-apatite superconductor with Tc > 30K be found before 2025?NO

13k

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?5% chance

1.7k

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?NO

Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Predicti... | Polymarket

Real-time odds on "Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?" as of January 7, 2026.

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