
Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?
127
1.7kṀ96kresolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Here we go again https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.00999
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ2,491 | |
2 | Ṁ1,665 | |
3 | Ṁ166 | |
4 | Ṁ161 | |
5 | Ṁ74 |
People are also trading
Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?
3% chance
Will 'Semi-Dirac Fermions in a Topological Metal' be independently replicated in 2025?
29% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?
9% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?
7% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
4% chance
Sort by:
Arxiv interview of the scientist who wrote the paper in this bet. https://sciencecast.org/casts/u1mlp8tkn7w4
In the interview he says that ten groups in China communicate via social media (a message board) on the topic of LK99 variants and room temp superconductors. He is confident that there will be replication from those or other sources
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?
3% chance
Will 'Semi-Dirac Fermions in a Topological Metal' be independently replicated in 2025?
29% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?
9% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?
7% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
4% chance