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Google Gemini♊

Google's currently-in-progress frontier transformer model that promises wide ranges of multimodality, and is the company's answer to OpenAI's GPT-4, and uses techniques learned from AlphaGo.

Ṁ2.6k
Will Google's Gemini beat GPT4 in terms of capabilities on release?
N/A
Ṁ2.6k
Ṁ1k
Will Gemini Ultra be on the chatbot arena leaderboard before the end of 2024?
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Personal judgement]
YES
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1.3k
By 2029 will any AI be able to watch a movie and accurately tell you what is going on? (Gary Marcus benchmark #1)
87% chance
Ṁ1.3k
Ṁ1.7k
By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2)
89% chance
Ṁ1.7k
Ṁ1k
Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Poll]
70% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ415
When will Gemini 1.5 Pro be released to the general public?
100%70%
April 2024
4%
February 2024
8%
March 2024
8%
May 2024
See 3 more answers
Ṁ415
Ṁ1k
Will Gemini 2 ship before GPT-5?
YES
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will something named Gemini 1.5 Ultra be announced before the end of May 2024?
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ650
Will Gemini Ultra achieve an Elo of 1300 or higher on the Chatbot Arena before May 1, 2024?
NO
Ṁ650
Ṁ2.5k
Will Gemini be widely considered better than GPT-4?
NO
Ṁ2.5k
Ṁ1k
Will Gemini achieve a higher score on the SAT compared to GPT-4?
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will Google Gemini's parameter count be public?
50%
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?
76% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will "Gemini [Ultra, 1.0] smash GPT-4 by 5x"?
18% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will Google Gemini be able to answer the simple geometry/number theory question in the description?
N/A
Ṁ1k
Ṁ330
Will Gemini take video as an input modality?
YES
Ṁ330
Ṁ1k
Will Gemini exceed the performance of GPT-4 on the 2022 AMC 10 and AMC 12 exams?
YES
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?
62% chance
Ṁ1k