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Google Gemini♊

Google
Our next-generation model: Gemini 1.5
Gemini 1.5 delivers dramatically enhanced performance, with a breakthrough in long-context understanding across modalities.

Google's currently-in-progress frontier transformer model that promises wide ranges of multimodality, and is the company's answer to OpenAI's GPT-4, and uses techniques learned from AlphaGo.

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Will Google's Gemini beat GPT4 in terms of capabilities on release?22% chance
#AI
#Google Gemini
#OpenAI
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Will Gemini Ultra be on the chatbot arena leaderboard before the end of 2024?80% chance
#ChatGPT
#Google Gemini
#Language Models
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Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Personal judgement]53% chance
#AI
#Technology
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By 2029 will any AI be able to watch a movie and accurately tell you what is going on? (Gary Marcus benchmark #1)92% chance
#Technical AI Timelines
#AI
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By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2)92% chance
#Technical AI Timelines
#AI
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Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Poll]70% chance
#AI
#Technology
resolved
When will Gemini 1.5 Pro be released to the general public?
100%70%
April 2024
4%
February 2024
8%
March 2024
8%
May 2024
See 3 more answers
#Google Gemini
#AI
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Will Gemini 2 ship before GPT-5?37% chance
#Google Gemini
#GPT-5 Speculation
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Will something named Gemini 1.5 Ultra be announced before the end of May 2024?19% chance
#Google Bard
#Google Gemini
#AI
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Will Gemini Ultra achieve an Elo of 1300 or higher on the Chatbot Arena before May 1, 2024?2% chance
#Chatbot Arena Leaderboard
#LLMs
#Google
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Will Gemini be widely considered better than GPT-4?NO
#LLMs
#GPT-4
#Google Gemini
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Will Gemini achieve a higher score on the SAT compared to GPT-4?70% chance
#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
#Technology
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Will Google Gemini's parameter count be public?60% chance
#AI
#Google
#Google Gemini
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Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?76% chance
#AI
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
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Will "Gemini [Ultra, 1.0] smash GPT-4 by 5x"?19% chance
#GPT-4 speculation
#Technical AI Timelines
#GPT-5 Speculation
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Will Google Gemini be able to answer the simple geometry/number theory question in the description?14% chance
#AI
#Google Gemini
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Will Gemini take video as an input modality?YES
#Google Gemini
#AI
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Will Gemini exceed the performance of GPT-4 on the 2022 AMC 10 and AMC 12 exams?69% chance
#AI
#Technology
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Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?56% chance
#Technical AI Timelines
#Mathematics
#AI