Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions
0.5%
4 or less
99%
5-8
0.2%
9-12
0.3%
13+
0.4%
No successful launch
71%
Successful launch
27%
Successful landing
1.9%
Reflight of a booster
52%
Yes
47%
Unsuccessful attempt
1%
No attempt
11%
261 or less
33%
262-280
30%
281-300
26%
301+
0.5%
Q2 2025
0.8%
Q3 2025
1.7%
Q4 2025
97%
Not in 2025
3%
134 or less
36%
135-150
48%
151-170
12%
171+
1k
1.2%
1
1.5%
2+
78%
0 and the program survives
19%
0 and the program is cancelled
26%
First Stage Static Fire
11%
Full Vehicle Stack
4%
Launch
59%
None of the above
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