Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions
6%
4 or less
90%
5-8
2%
9-12
1.2%
13+
0.4%
No successful launch
75%
Successful launch
23%
Successful landing
2%
Reflight of a booster
49%
Yes
43%
Unsuccessful attempt
8%
No attempt
11%
261 or less
33%
262-280
30%
281-300
26%
301+
0.6%
Q2 2025
3%
Q3 2025
10%
Q4 2025
86%
Not in 2025
7%
134 or less
26%
135-150
52%
151-170
16%
171+
1k
0.9%
1
1.1%
2+
90%
0 and the program survives
8%
0 and the program is cancelled
28%
First Stage Static Fire
25%
Full Vehicle Stack
7%
Launch
40%
None of the above
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