Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions
0.5%
4 or less
99%
5-8
0.2%
9-12
0.3%
13+
0.1%
No successful launch
0.2%
Successful launch
99.3%
Successful landing
0.4%
Reflight of a booster
13%
Yes
86%
Unsuccessful attempt
0.5%
No attempt
3%
261 or less
5%
262-280
13%
281-300
79%
301+
0.5%
Q2 2025
0.8%
Q3 2025
1.7%
Q4 2025
97%
Not in 2025
0.6%
134 or less
1%
135-150
85%
151-170
14%
171+
1k
1%
1
1%
2+
82%
0 and the program survives
16%
0 and the program is cancelled
7%
First Stage Static Fire
5%
Full Vehicle Stack
3%
Launch
85%
None of the above
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