Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions
3%
4 or less
96%
5-8
0.7%
9-12
0.8%
13+
0.4%
No successful launch
73%
Successful launch
25%
Successful landing
1.9%
Reflight of a booster
49%
Yes
43%
Unsuccessful attempt
8%
No attempt
11%
261 or less
33%
262-280
30%
281-300
26%
301+
0.6%
Q2 2025
3%
Q3 2025
9%
Q4 2025
87%
Not in 2025
4%
134 or less
36%
135-150
48%
151-170
12%
171+
1k
1.2%
1
1.6%
2+
75%
0 and the program survives
22%
0 and the program is cancelled
27%
First Stage Static Fire
25%
Full Vehicle Stack
7%
Launch
42%
None of the above
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