Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions
0.5%
4 or less
99%
5-8
0.2%
9-12
0.3%
13+
0.1%
No successful launch
0.2%
Successful launch
99.3%
Successful landing
0.4%
Reflight of a booster
9%
Yes
90%
Unsuccessful attempt
0.5%
No attempt
0.3%
261 or less
0.4%
262-280
0.5%
281-300
98.8%
301+
0.5%
Q2 2025
0.8%
Q3 2025
1.7%
Q4 2025
97%
Not in 2025
0.7%
134 or less
1.3%
135-150
94%
151-170
4%
171+
1k
0.4%
1
0.5%
2+
98%
0 and the program survives
1.4%
0 and the program is cancelled
3%
First Stage Static Fire
3%
Full Vehicle Stack
1.9%
Launch
92%
None of the above
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