Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions
0.5%
4 or less
99%
5-8
0.2%
9-12
0.3%
13+
0.4%
No successful launch
63%
Successful launch
35%
Successful landing
1%
Reflight of a booster
17%
Yes
82%
Unsuccessful attempt
0.7%
No attempt
3%
261 or less
5%
262-280
13%
281-300
79%
301+
0.5%
Q2 2025
0.8%
Q3 2025
1.7%
Q4 2025
97%
Not in 2025
0.6%
134 or less
6%
135-150
81%
151-170
12%
171+
1k
1.1%
1
1.4%
2+
81%
0 and the program survives
16%
0 and the program is cancelled
9%
First Stage Static Fire
7%
Full Vehicle Stack
4%
Launch
80%
None of the above
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