Wait, is "program survives" about SLS (like the tweet) or Starliner (implied by my reading of the rest of the question)?

@EvanDaniel I think it's about Starliner. The Manifold tweet embedding automatically includes the previous tweet, and there's no way to avoid that.

@Mqrius Correct, the SLS tweet is irrelevant to this market.

There's now an (uncrewed) flight scheduled for April, so "0 and the program survives" is looking pretty likely.

But, like, theoretically it could be cancelled before the end of the year, so I'll leave this open until then.

https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/06/07/further-delays-of-starliners-next-flight-mark-anniversary-of-its-first-crewed-space-station-docking/

"A year later, the future of the Starliner program remains uncertain as NASA announced late Friday that the next flight of the spacecraft was being delayed from no earlier than late 2025 to now early 2026 at the soonest.

The agency said the timing of the next launch is “pending system certification and resolution of Starliner’s technical issues.” Repeating what it said back in a March 27 press release, NASA said it was still determining whether or not the next flight of Starliner would carry astronauts onboard."