This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

SLS is NASA's Space Launch System rocket.

"Survive" presumably means that the program isn't cancelled.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions