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How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
28
แน€1kแน€16k
resolved Jan 1
100%99.0%
5-8
0.5%
4 or less
0.2%
9-12
0.3%
13+

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions

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5 https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=rocket_174&tab=past
not ready to launch eg no engines installed, no cryotests, no static fires

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