When will Sierra Space launch Dream Chaser? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Plus
4
Ṁ2502026
17%
Q2 2025
40%
Q3 2025
23%
Q4 2025
20%
Not in 2025
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
SpaceX conducts at least one Starship launch every month in 2025
32% chance
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
19% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
74% chance
Will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy Booster in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
67% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
74% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
When will Dream Chaser go to space?
Will a new European launch provider reach orbit in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SLS survive 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
45% chance