When will Sierra Space launch Dream Chaser? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
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1kṀ13kresolved Jan 1
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100%99.0%
Not in 2025
0.2%
Q2 2025
0.4%
Q3 2025
0.4%
Q4 2025
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
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First orbital flight NET late 2026
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dream_Chaser#Missions
Captive and drop tests were before question created so I presume these don't count and they are not in 2025 anyway. Resolve please @Multicore
https://spaceflightnow.com/2025/09/26/sierra-spaces-dream-chaser-debut-mission-delayed-again-no-longer-docking-to-station/
The space plane is now scheduled to launch on its inaugural flight no earlier than late 2026.