New Glenn's furthest milestone in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
33
1kṀ23k
Jan 1
0.1%
No successful launch
0.2%
Successful launch
99.3%
Successful landing
0.4%
Reflight of a booster

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

(Rewritten slightly)

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions

Technology
SpaceX
Rockets
Space
Everyday Astronaut Predictions
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

What's the furthest milestone we'll see with Stoke Space's NOVA in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2025?
Will SLS survive 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
91% chance
Will a new European launch provider reach orbit in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2025 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
1% chance
Will a Hubble Servicing mission receive a green light in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
15% chance
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2025?
Will there be a new record for people orbiting earth by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Sort by:

They've just landed the booster on flight 2. Congrats to Blue Origin, it's clearly no trivial task!

No succesful launch resolves NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen It's dependent multiple choice, options can't resolve separately.

@Multicore i'm a noob, lol

Successful launch! But no landing yet. We'll see if they get one later this year.

People are also trading

What's the furthest milestone we'll see with Stoke Space's NOVA in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2025?
Will SLS survive 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
91% chance
Will a new European launch provider reach orbit in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2025 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
1% chance
Will a Hubble Servicing mission receive a green light in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
15% chance
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2025?
Will there be a new record for people orbiting earth by the end of 2025?
21% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy