Trending

100k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?48% chance
11k
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?37% chance
5.5k
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?75% chance
10k
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?53% chance
15k
By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
1%
Before July 2025
40%
Before August 2025
63%
Before September 2025
78%
Before October 2025
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