Trending

Ṁ100k
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
YES
Ṁ21k
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
31% chance
Ṁ5.5k
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
81% chance
Ṁ10k
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
50% chance
Ṁ15k
By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
Resolved
NO
Before June 2024
Resolved
NO
Before July 2024
Resolved
NO
Before August 2024
Resolved
NO
Before September 2024
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