Manifold Sweepstakes

5k

Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?

100%99.0%

Manifold has real money prizes at the end of 2024

0.3%

Manifold doesn't launch real money prizes in 2024

0.7%

Manifold launches real money prizes in 2024 but does not have them at the end of 2024

1.7k

In what ways will Manifold be like Fliff, the social sports betting app inspiring the Pivot, by end of year?

Resolved

N/A

Purchase of Mana is not required to continue playing “games” on Manifold - if your balance of Mana is insufficient to continue playing “games” on Manifold, you will be provided instructions to receive sufficient Mana to continue playing

Resolved

YES

Prize Points Free Collection Method #4: Prize Points are obtainable for free by sending a request by mail

Resolved

YES

The primary type of currency/credit on Manifold is play-money (i.e. Mana, like Fliff Coins)

Resolved

YES

A second type of currency/credit on Manifold is sweepstakes entries redeemable for real cash prizes (i.e. Prize Points, like Fliff Cash)

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1.5k

[The Pivot] Will Manifold ever give a cash payout from Prize Points [or Sweepstakes]?YES

1k

Within 2 months of Manifold adding cash prizes, the number of daily active users will more than double.NO

2.1k

Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1,000 from Manifold "sweepcash" in 2024?YES

9.8k

What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024?

100%91%

Cash prizes via sweepstakes

0.4%

Creator Partner Program

0.0%

Numeric market type

4%

US 2024 election dashboard

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