Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1,000 from Manifold "sweepcash" in 2024?
104
2.1kṀ42k
resolved Oct 18
Resolved
YES

Before 1 January 2025 (Pacific time), a user must convert a balance of "prize points" (not some other direct, non-prize point credit like partner bonuses) into $1000.00 (USD) or more. By "prize points", I mean whatever name will be given to the currency earned from market resolutions after 1 May 2024. (If other sources can also supply this currency, those also count -- the key is that the market resolution currency is used to generate the money.)

They can post their proof in this market, or someone can provide proof of the event to resolve this yes.

The $1000 can be withdrawn in multiple separate events or all at once.

Resolves No if no proof has been shown in the comment section of this market before the specified date. I may or may not attempt to seek out this proof. If Manifold databases are accessible and can show that someone withdrew $1000, or Manifold staff confirm it, that will be sufficient to resolve Yes.

If "prize points" never exist, or "real money withdrawals" never materialize, this market would resolve No.

Note: If there is a fee applied to withdrawals such that withdrawing an amount of prize points nominally worth $1,000 results in a slightly lower amount of currency in the user's bank account at the end of the transaction, the key factor is the amount of money the end user actually has control of. Someone withdrawing "$1000 worth" of prize points but getting $975 in their bank account would need to get $25 more into their bank account in order for this to resolve Yes.

Anyone on the Manifold staff or otherwise on the Manifold payroll (full or part time), and anyone who is an 'investor' in Manifold-the-company or has some special relationship with them (family, etc.), who reports withdrawing $1000, will NOT resolve this market Yes unless they can sufficiently prove that they had no special treatment and any regular user could have done the same thing. If it appears any special treatment was given to the user, I don't want to count it.

Resolves Yes promptly upon receipt of proof.

Related:

/mattyb/the-pivot-will-manifold-ever-give-a

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