Context: Manifold is pivoting to a new business model based on real cash prizes under a sweepstakes model. In the pivot announcement, Manifold mentioned the social sports betting company Fliff as representative of the sweepstakes model they're pursuing. I read this as "Manifold is to be like Fliff, but for user-generated questions about anything, not just centrally-created/managed questions about sports."
As such, being aware of how Fliff operates should provide insight into how Manifold may operate in the future. So:
In what ways will Manifold be like Fliff by end of year?
Suggest new answers in comments and I'll add them. Initial answers came after my reading of Fliff's Sweepstakes rules, Terms of Use, and functionality described on the Fliff marketing site and in YouTube videos. Ask clarifying questions in comments.
For ease of resolution, answers will resolve YES if they are true at any point prior to January 1st, 2025, regardless of whether they are related to implementation of the PivotTM and regardless of whether they are implemented and then undone prior to 2025.
Any names referring to a thing, (i.e. "Prize Points" for promotional sweepstakes entries, "Mana" for play money) should be understood as representative of the underlying thing, even if the name of that thing changes. I will update answers to reflect new names as soon as I can/am made aware.
Here's a similar question, though I suspect there may be disagreement about whether this pivot is indeed "real money trading":
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ550 | |
2 | Ṁ374 | |
3 | Ṁ48 | |
4 | Ṁ38 | |
5 | Ṁ21 |