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US Govt Shutdown
House Speaker
Israel
Mystery Drones
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CEO Shooter
Sora
What Will Trump Do?
OpenAI
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Korea Martial Law
Ding v. Gukesh
Golden Globes
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2028 Election
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GPT-5 Capabilities
Manifold AI
TechRadar
Sam Altman hints at the future of AI and GPT-5 - and big things are coming
GPT-5 on the horizon, as Altman drops hints
~deleted~
Plus
GPT-5 capabilities at launch - make your predictions
48%
to be N/A'd : Seed answer to create a market
Yes
No
Open options
72%
Video modality(Input or Output)
Yes
No
Open options
96%
Audio Modality(Input or Output)
Yes
No
Open options
96%
Image Modality(Output)
Yes
No
Open options
See 12 more answers
98
Ṁ4375
~deleted~
Plus
Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?
87%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
178
Ṁ2240
CuriousNoob
Plus
Will OpenAI's next-gen math-focused model score at least 95% on the MATH benchmark?
NO
27
Ṁ1000
Luca
Plus
Will OpenAI Release a Model Capable of Reliably performing Gradeschool Math from Reasoning by Jan 1, 2025?
79%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
36
Ṁ1000
~deleted~
Basic
Will Gary Marcus dunk on OpenAI's next big model release by saying that the model still fails in predictable ways?
84%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
8
Ṁ240
Mira
Plus
Will GPT-5 have over 1 trillion parameters?
86%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
50
Ṁ1000
Adrian
Plus
Will GPT-5 win Bronze or better at IMO 2025?
34%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
34
Ṁ1000
~deleted~
Plus
Will GPT-5 have fewer parameters than GPT-4? (1500M subsidy)
16%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
94
Ṁ3070
Victor Li
Plus
Will GPT-5 reach a 1000 rating on Codeforces?
88%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
42
Ṁ1000
CuriousNoob
Plus
Will OpenAI's next-generation model score 65% or higher on the GPQA benchmark?
YES
13
Ṁ1000
See more questions:
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