Will GPT-5 win Bronze or better at IMO 2025?
13
96
513
2025
15%
chance

GPT-5 with scaffolding or access to tools counts as long as GPT-5 is making real decisions.

Resolves No if GPT-5 doesn’t score Bronze or higher, or if it does not does not exist by then, or nobody makes an IMO attempt by the end of August 2025

Get Ṁ200 play money