Will OpenAI Release a Model Capable of Reliably performing Gradeschool Math from Reasoning by Jan 1, 2025?

MANIFOLD

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Jan 1

79%

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I.e. will a "Q*" model be released?

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Will AI be better every human at proving Math theorems by the end of 2030?

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By what date will at least one state-of-the-art general-purpose AI system not be a reasoning model?

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How do you define "gradeschool math"? Does it include gradeschool Geometry?

How do you measure "reliably"?

predictedYES

@0482 sentiment

@Luca3f84 fair, but given this subjective criteria I will challenge any YES resolution is the success rate is below 90%, there are obvious consistent blind spots, or Manifold poll will show majority says it is not reliable

predictedYES

@0482 completely fair. I would do the same. Fwiw, the way the question is worded, it excludes the use of code interpreter, mere interpretation from vision etc.

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