Extinction

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Which extinct species will be brought back to life by 2037?

75%

Pyrenean ibex

50%

Any of clade Dinosauria (dinosaurs)

50%

Passenger Pigeon

50%

Dodo

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Will a mammal species be successfully brought back from extinction through cloning or CRISPR technology by end of 2024?9% chance

When will an animal get de-extinct for the first time?

7%

Before 2026

31%

Before 2028

42%

Before 2030

46%

Before 2032

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Will the dodo bird be brought back from extinction before the end of 2030?13% chance

Will scientists successfully revive an extinct species by 2030?46% chance

Will the Thylacine be de-extincted before 203318% chance

Will a previously extinct animal species be successfully cloned and brought back to life before 2035?62% chance

Will the dodo be de-extincted before 2040?25% chance

Will the woolly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040?26% chance

What will happen during the woolly mammoth de-extinction project by 2050?

81%

Colossal Biosciences goes out of business without officially canceling the project

63%

Colossal Biosciences announces they are canceling the project

43%

growing an elephant or mammoth fetus in an artificial womb

36%

giving "birth" to a living woolly mammoth

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Will the IUCN reasses the javan tiger from “ Extinct” to “Critically endangered” when tigers are next reassesed?50% chance

Will the Javan Rhino be classified as extinct in the wild or fully extinct by EOY 2040?52% chance

Extinction Markets

Where will the next language to go extinct come from?

37%

Australia/Oceania

33%

South America

29%

Africa

25%

North America

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Will more species go extinct in 2024 than 2023?92% chance

#Animal welfare

Will the migratory monarch butterfly be declared extinct by 2028?25% chance

#Animal welfare

Will the Javan rhinoceros go extinct before 2030?41% chance

#Animal welfare

Will the common pigeon (Columba livia) become extinct in the current century?45% chance

Will the world's most endangered marine mammal - the vaquita porpoise - be extinct before 2030?59% chance

#Animal welfare

Will the newly-discovered Mexican tree alligators (Abronia cunemica) be declared extinct by the end of the year 2035?42% chance

Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?80% chance

#Animal welfare

Extinction Risk