Will the Thylacine be de-extincted before 2033

700Ṁ3603

2032

26%

chance

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https://pursuit.unimelb.edu.au/articles/the-9-steps-to-de-extincting-australia-s-thylacine

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/de-extinction-company-aims-to-resurrect-the-tasmanian-tiger/

This resolves as YES if the project (or any other project) successfully produces a breeding pair of “a de-extincted thylacine-ish thing" before

2033

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here's a related market for betting on specific woolly mammoth project milestones: /ASomewhatRudeParakeet/what-will-happen-during-the-woolly

Requiring a breeding pair makes this a lot harder

@jonsimon maybe, but one of the stated goals of the project is reintroduction in the wild. I feel if it was not breeding then that would not really work.

predictedNO

@Odoacre oh sure, they talk about releasing hundreds of them, certainly at least one breeding pair will be required. I just meant it substantially changes the likelihood that it will actually happen.