Will the Thylacine be de-extincted before 2033
38
700Ṁ35032032
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://pursuit.unimelb.edu.au/articles/the-9-steps-to-de-extincting-australia-s-thylacine
This resolves as YES if the project (or any other project) successfully produces a breeding pair of “a de-extincted thylacine-ish thing" before
2033
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
here's a related market for betting on specific woolly mammoth project milestones: /ASomewhatRudeParakeet/what-will-happen-during-the-woolly
@jonsimon maybe, but one of the stated goals of the project is reintroduction in the wild. I feel if it was not breeding then that would not really work.
@Odoacre oh sure, they talk about releasing hundreds of them, certainly at least one breeding pair will be required. I just meant it substantially changes the likelihood that it will actually happen.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a living Megalodon be found before 2030?
14% chance
Will the wild population of the Admiralty Five-striped Skink (Emoia mivarti) become extinct by 2100?
47% chance
Will the dodo be de-extincted before 2040?
23% chance
Will the woolly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040?
46% chance
Which extinct species will be brought back to life by 2037?
Will the dodo bird be brought back from extinction before the end of 2030?
16% chance
Will a previously extinct animal species be successfully cloned and brought back to life before 2035?
66% chance
Will the Javan rhinoceros go extinct before 2030?
41% chance
Will humanity go extinct before 2030?
3% chance
Will scientists successfully revive an extinct species by 2030?
56% chance