Will scientists successfully revive an extinct species by 2030?
Basic
60
8.4k
2031
61%
chance

This market resolves as "Yes" if, from now to December 31, 2030, scientists will manage to successfully revive an extinct species, leading to the birth or creation of at least one living specimen.

The species must have been declared extinct prior to this revival.

The newly born animal has to stay alive for at least one month.

Success must be documented and validated through peer-reviewed scientific research, official statements from credible scientific institutions, or announcements in major scientific journals or media outlets.

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boughtṀ683YES

@RichardK What did you see?

I was going through my portfolio and noticed this had drifted cheap. I did review the efforts I am aware of in this space and it seems like things are on track for 2027

I believe it is very hard to do so.

What do you think on the below question?

I'm guessing this excludes animals which usually have a lifespan of less than a month? (Mosquitos/bacteria/fungi/etc)

@BoydKane "animals"*

@BoydKane yes, correct