When will an animal get de-extinct for the first time?
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46
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2026
7%
Before 2026
31%
Before 2028
50%
Before 2030
60%
Before 2032
62%
Before 2034
66%
Before 2036

With the invention of cloning and CRISPR, there have been a number of proposals to bring back some of the animals that got extinct recently enough that we have their full genomes, like Woolly Mammoth. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/De-extinction

When will de-extinction be done successfully for the first time?

For this market to resolve positively, at least one individual animal of an extinct species has to be brought to life. The animal should live to the biological age of at least 1 month.

The animal could be produced by cloning, gene splicing or other means, but it has to be considered belonging to the extinct species. Genetically modifying an elephant to grow hair is not enough.

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I'm guessing that the Pyrenean ibex does not count?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pyrenean_ibex#Cloning_project

@JeffreyHeninger Good example. However it doesn't satisfy the condition that the clone has to live to the age of at least 1 month: "On July 30, 2003, one clone was born alive, but died several minutes later due to physical defects in the lungs."

Moreover, I don't know how I feel about the DNA material being harvested from a still living animal. Doesn't it defeat the spirit of de-extinction? I think it still technically qualifies, but I'm open to the discussion.

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