Ding v. Gukesh

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Will Ding Liren win the 2024 World Chess Championship?39% chance

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World Chess Championship Round 9 - Prop Bets

21%

Gukesh wins

21%

Ding wins

28%

At some point there are only kings, rooks or pawns on the board (any combination)

20%

Game ends in a draw by threefold repetition

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Will Gukesh Dommaraju beat Ding Liren in the 2024 World Chess Championship?68% chance

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Ding vs. Gukesh - 2024 World Chess Championship prop bets

52%

4 or less decisive games

59%

Average game length of the first half of the match is less than the second half

7%

At least 6 decisive games

62%

Even number of wins (excluding tiebreaks)

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Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship?65% chance

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How many games will Gukesh D WIN in the classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?

0.6%

0

33%

1

41%

2

17%

3

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Which opening move will Gukesh D play most during the Classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?

74%

e4

33%

d4

4%

c4

6%

Other

Basic

️What will happen during the 2024 World Chess Championship? [ADD RESPONSES]

99.2%

four or more draws

99%

A player loses a game on time (doesn't include not showing up to the game)

95%

five or more draws

87%

six or more draws

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What will Ding Liren's score be in the 2024 World Chess Championship before tiebreakers?

0.7%

0

0.7%

½

0.7%

1

0.7%

1½

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How many classical games will be needed to decide the World Chess Championship 2024 (the Ding Liren - Gukesh D match)

0.8%

Decided after 8 (or fewer) games

0.9%

Decided after 9 games

0.9%

Decided after 10 games

1.7%

Decided after 11 games

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How many games will Ding Liren WIN in the classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?

0.6%

0

37%

1

48%

2

11%

3

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Will World Chess Championship 2024 be a close match?YES

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Which opening move will Ding Liren play most during the Classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?

36%

e4

60%

d4

14%

c4

19%

Other

Basic

How often will each opening be played in the 2024 Chess world championship [see rules].

63%

1. e4

62%

French Defense 1. e4 e6

56%

Ruy Lopez - Morphy 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bb5 a6

51%

Italian 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bb4

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Will a knight move to a corner square during the 2024 World Chess Championship?21% chance

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Will Dommaraju Gukesh ever become World Chess Champion?83% chance