Will Gukesh Dommaraju beat Ding Liren in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
110
20kṀ390k
resolved Dec 12
Resolved
YES

It looks like the chess WC is back on.

Due to start on November 25th in Singapore.
https://deepnewz.com/chess/ding-liren-to-defend-title-against-gukesh-fide-world-championship-starting-25-6bbcc874

For those who don't follow chess closely
Ding won the world championship a while ago, and hasn't been in great form recently

Gukesh has been crushing it -- including recently at Chess Olympiad which India won in dominant fashion

Betting sites have Gukesh between 3-1 and 8-1 favorite...

Basically most people think Gukesh can't lose, and Ding can't win.

However -- both are top 2700+ ELO players. Ding has slide to #23 in the world (to Gukesh's #5) but that's still only a 50 point difference.
https://2700chess.com/

Also as the defending champion Ding wins if the match ends in a tie.

Hence the market is if Gukesh can win. Ding needs only a tied match to hold on to his championship.

Gukesh is also still a teenager. If he wins, he'd be the youngest champion ever, beating Gary Kasparov's record (age 20 / 21 I think). Maybe the nerves will get to him, especially if Ding turns out to be tougher than he expects...


We will post updates and more information here, and make this a Premium market.

Let us know if you want to see more markets on individual games, margin of victory, etc...

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):

  • Tiebreaks will count - Gukesh can win by winning the tiebreaks even if classical portion is tied

  • If match ends in a tie for any other reason (e.g. cancellation), Ding remains champion and market resolves NO

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