♟️What will happen during the 2024 World Chess Championship? [ADD RESPONSES]

Basic

Ṁ999

Dec 10

98.3%

italian game opening is played

97%

three or more draws

94%

four or more draws

92%

five or more draws

84%

ruy lopez opening is played

80%

six or more draws

72%

queenside castle happens at least once per player across multiple games

64%

Sicilian opening played at least once

51%

both players lose with the white pieces

41%

An endgame that is a tablebase draw ends with a victory for either player (by resignation or checkmate, not by loss on time etc.)

36%

an irregular opening is played (A00 in the opening book)

35%

Pawn is captured en passant

34%

Arbiter called during the game for reason other than draw by repetition

34%

A player loses a game on time (doesn't include not showing up to the game)

28%

a player plays an opening with an animal name

26%

both players win with the black pieces

26%

the champion wins at least once with the black pieces

24%

A position that has never occurred in the Lichess Masters database is reached within the first 5 moves (10 ply) in any game

20%

A player forfeits a game (for any intentional or unintentional reason)

20%

Four knights game opening is played

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a player plays an opening with an animal name

@strutheo Since this is Manifold, where stupid semantics rule the world, I'm going to put it out there that according to Wikipedia, female cats are called queens, which means that CLEARLY the Queen's Gambit opening will make this resolve YES :-)

A player forfeits a game (for any intentional or unintentional reason)

@ADings does this include resignation?

@Nightsquared No

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