♟️What will happen during the 2024 World Chess Championship? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
32
Ṁ2288Dec 10
99.2%
four or more draws
99%
five or more draws
99%
six or more draws
99%
A player loses a game on time (doesn't include not showing up to the game)
91%
7 or more draws
85%
both players lose with the white pieces
85%
both players win with the black pieces
77%
the champion wins at least once with the black pieces
72%
queenside castle happens at least once per player across multiple games
65%
ruy lopez opening is played
61%
Pawn is captured en passant
55%
Sicilian opening played at least once
45%
Four knights game opening is played
34%
Arbiter called during the game for reason other than draw by repetition
33%
An endgame that is a tablebase draw ends with a victory for either player (by resignation or checkmate, not by loss on time etc.)
33%
A position that has never occurred in the Lichess Masters database is reached within the first 5 moves (10 ply) in any game
23%
an irregular opening is played (A00 in the opening book)
20%
a player plays an opening with an animal name
13%
A player forfeits a game (for any intentional or unintentional reason)
13%
One player wins without a queen on the board while the other player has one
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@ADings to clarify -- if a game ever reaches a tablebase draw, and later ends in a victory, then this resolves yes? E.g. if a tablebase-drawn position is reached and then one of the players blunders and gets checkmated
@ADings I guess I want to make sure that it would count for only a single position (1 ply) in the game to be a tablebase draw.
@strutheo Since this is Manifold, where stupid semantics rule the world, I'm going to put it out there that according to Wikipedia, female cats are called queens, which means that CLEARLY the Queen's Gambit opening will make this resolve YES :-)
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