Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?
287
11kṀ58k
2027
23%
chance

Will OpenAI make a deal to pay a major science publisher such as Elsevier for explicit access / training rights on their papers, before the end of 2025?

Closes at end of 2026 to allow for a one-year lag in when we learn about it. Resolves YES if such a deal has already taken place.

Vide this minor difference of guesses between myself (Yudkowsky) and Sabine Hossenfelder.

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