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New Ilya Company

Ṁ1k
Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?
60% chance
Ṁ2.1k
What will be true of Safe Superintelligence Inc.? [Add Answers]
89%
At the start of 2026 the majority of their compute will be Nvidia GPUs
44%
At least 5 most recently OpenAI employees will join SSI inc by Jan 1st 2025
37%
They receive Israeli gov investment
24%
Will be purchased by or merge with another company by the end of 2026
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Ṁ2.1k
How much money will be invested in Safe Superintelligence Inc before the end of 2024?
100%81%
[$1B, $2.1B)
5%
Not revealed before the end of 2024
0.8%
< $10M USD
0.8%
[$10M, $21M)
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Ṁ6.7k
What will be true of Ilya Sutskever's 'next project'? (add answers)
1.7%
They will publicly show some novel results in 2024
48%
More people think it will be net-positive for the world than net-negative, based on a Manifold poll in December
22%
Someone in an Executive or Director role at a FAANG or MAMAA company resigns to join the project within 1 month of the announcement
85%
It's related to the medical or scientific research industry
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The Verge
OpenAI chief scientist Ilya Sutskever is officially leaving
Ilya Sutskever, the OpenAI co-founder and chief scientist who reportedly led the infamous failed coup against Sam Altman, is unsurprisingly leaving the company.
Ṁ2.3k
What podcast will Ilya Sutskever first appear on in 2024?
100%97%
Ilya does not appear on a podcast in 2024
0.5%
Dwarkesh
0.2%
The Cognitive Revolution
0.1%
Machine Learning Street Talk
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Ṁ1k
Will Lex Friedman interview Ilya Sutskever again in by mid 2024?
NO

https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322

Analytics India Magazine — India's Leading AI & Data Science Media Platform
India's leading AI and data science media platform — in-depth coverage of artificial intelligence, machine learning, research and tech business.
Ṁ1.3k
Will Ilya Sutskever found a new company before 2025?
YES
Ṁ1k
Will Ilya Sutskever announce they will work at Anthropic before the end of 2024?
NO
Ṁ1k
Will Ilya Sutskever join xAI (Grok) before the end of 2024?
NO
Ṁ4.2k
Was Ilya spooked by a capabilities advance?
N/A
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