New Ilya Company

1k
Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?48% chance
2.1k
What will be true of Safe Superintelligence Inc.? [Add Answers]
90%
At the start of 2026 the majority of their compute will be Nvidia GPUs
44%
At least 5 most recently OpenAI employees will join SSI inc by Jan 1st 2025
37%
They receive Israeli gov investment
36%
They will publicly demonstrate their AI or publish a paper by the start of 2026
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2.1k
How much money will be invested in Safe Superintelligence Inc before the end of 2024?
100%81%
[$1B, $2.1B)
5%
Not revealed before the end of 2024
0.8%
< $10M USD
0.8%
[$10M, $21M)
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6.7k
What will be true of Ilya Sutskever's 'next project'? (add answers)
1.7%
They will publicly show some novel results in 2024
48%
More people think it will be net-positive for the world than net-negative, based on a Manifold poll in December
22%
Someone in an Executive or Director role at a FAANG or MAMAA company resigns to join the project within 1 month of the announcement
85%
It's related to the medical or scientific research industry
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The Verge
OpenAI chief scientist Ilya Sutskever is officially leaving
Ilya Sutskever, the OpenAI co-founder and chief scientist who reportedly led the infamous failed coup against Sam Altman, is unsurprisingly leaving the company.
2.3k
What podcast will Ilya Sutskever first appear on in 2024?
100%97%
Ilya does not appear on a podcast in 2024
0.5%
Dwarkesh
0.2%
The Cognitive Revolution
0.1%
Machine Learning Street Talk
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1k
Will Lex Friedman interview Ilya Sutskever again in by mid 2024?NO

https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322

1.3k
Will Ilya Sutskever found a new company before 2025?YES
1k
Will Ilya Sutskever announce they will work at Anthropic before the end of 2024?NO
1k
Will Ilya Sutskever join xAI (Grok) before the end of 2024?NO
4.2k
Was Ilya spooked by a capabilities advance?N/A
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