Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?
57
1kṀ45882030
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Ilya's company offers ANY commercial or free product, of any kind, in violation of their mission statement not to do so, OR if their company merges with or is sold to a company that offers a product.
Resolves NO if artificial superintelligence is created or comes to be, anywhere, in any way.
Resolves NO if Ilya's company folds such that it clearly will never be part of another company or release a product.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get ASI before 2030?
33% chance
Will we get ASI before 2027?
8% chance
Will we get ASI before 2028?
12% chance
Will we get ASI before 2029?
18% chance
How many year from 13/03/2025 until ASI?
9.8
Will we get ASI before 2032?
57% chance
Will we get ASI before 2031?
48% chance
Will we get ASI before 2035?
71% chance
Will we get ASI before 2033?
67% chance
Will we get ASI before 2036?
72% chance