Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?
➕
Plus
55
Ṁ4291
2030
36%
chance

Resolves YES if Ilya's company offers ANY commercial or free product, of any kind, in violation of their mission statement not to do so, OR if their company merges with or is sold to a company that offers a product.

Resolves NO if artificial superintelligence is created or comes to be, anywhere, in any way.

Resolves NO if Ilya's company folds such that it clearly will never be part of another company or release a product.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO

Why is this at 60%?

It seems obviously >50% that the company closes down without doing anything.

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