What will be true of Ilya Sutskever's 'next project'? (add answers)
203
6.7kṀ30kJan 1
1.7%
They will publicly show some novel results in 2024
48%
More people think it will be net-positive for the world than net-negative, based on a Manifold poll in December
22%
Someone in an Executive or Director role at a FAANG or MAMAA company resigns to join the project within 1 month of the announcement
85%
It's related to the medical or scientific research industry
44%
A manifold user works at the company (within a month of the announcement)
11%
It will involve godagreements
71%
A former OAI executive or board member is working on the project with him (not counting Jan Leike)
4%
It will involve Anthropic
4%
It will involve Jan Leike
7%
Related to politics or policy
11%
Karpathy is involved somehow
98.3%
He will have a c-level title
4%
It will be a public company (for profit)
8%
It will be a nonprofit
1.3%
It will involve Helen Toner
4%
It will receive initial funding from Sam Altman personally
3%
It will receive initial funding from OpenAI
5%
It will be with Elon Musk
5%
It will involve Geoffrey Hinton
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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