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UK '24

Ṁ1k
Will Labour win a Majority in the next election?
YES
Ṁ1k
POLITICO
POLITICO Poll of Polls — British polls, trends and election news for the United Kingdom and Scotland
All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland election polls.
Ṁ1.4k
Will a UK General Election be held during Q2 2024?
NO
Ṁ1.4k
Ṁ1k
Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 200 seats at the next UK general election?
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will the Liberal Democrats be the third-largest party at the next UK general election (third-largest number of seats)?
YES
Ṁ1k
Ṁ2.3k
Which of the following promises will be in the Labour party Manifesto?
Resolved
YES
Not raise VAT
Resolved
YES
Maintain the triple lock
Resolved
YES
Reduce NHS waiting lists
Resolved
YES
New towns
See 18 more answers
Ṁ2.3k
Ṁ1.3k
Which of the following promises will be in the conservative party Manifesto?
Resolved
YES
Not raise VAT
Resolved
YES
Maintain the triple lock
Resolved
YES
Stop the boats
Resolved
YES
Introduce national service
See 3 more answers
Ṁ1.3k
Ṁ1.7k
Will Dominic Cummings launch a new "startup" party before the next UK General Election?
NO
Ṁ1.7k
Ṁ1k
Will Rishi Sunak face a formal confidence vote from the Conservative Party before the end of March 2024?
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
The UK Tory party will split into 2 parties or otherwise internally fall apart before 2026
3% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales?
36%
Labour Majority, >200k houses built per year
62%
Labour Majority, <=200k houses built per year
1%
Not Labour Majority, >200k houses built per year
1%
Not Labour Majority, <=200k houses built per year
Ṁ1k
Ṁ235
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will inflation on average be between 1.5% and 2.5%
43%
Labour Majority, inflation average inside range
55%
Labour Majority, inflation average outside range
1%
Not Labour Majority, inflation average inside range
1%
Not Labour Majority, inflation average outside range
Ṁ235
Ṁ220
Which of the following promises will be in the Liberal Democrat party Manifesto?
Resolved
YES
Maintain the triple lock
Resolved
N/A
Other
Resolved
NO
Not raise VAT
Resolved
NO
Reduce class sizes
Ṁ220
Ṁ335
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will illegal migration be above 20k per year on average in the UK?
80%
Labour Majority, net migration 20k
18%
Labour Majority, net migration =<20k
0.9%
Not Labour Majority, net migration >20k
0.9%
Not Labour Majority, net migration =<20k
Ṁ335
Ṁ140
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will net migration be above 400k per year on average in the UK?
12%
Labour Majority, net migration >400k
85%
Labour Majority, net migration =<400k
1.6%
Not Labour Majority, net migration >400k
1.6%
Not Labour Majority, net migration =<400k
Ṁ140
Ṁ140
2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?
81%
Labour Majority, fossil fuels >22%
17%
Labour Majority, fossil fuels <=22%
0.6%
Not Labour Majority, fossil fuels >22%
0.6%
Not Labour Majority, fossil fuels <=22%
Ṁ140
Ṁ140
2x2: Will Labour get majority, Will there be more than 80k robberies, on average?
51%
Labour Majority, >80k robberies
47%
Labour Majority, <= 80k robberies
1%
Not Labour Majority, >80k robberies
1%
Not Labour Majority, <= 80k robberies
Ṁ140
Ṁ180
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?
21%
Labour Majority, aid >= 0.6% GNI
77%
Labour Majority, aid < 0.6% GNI
1%
Not Labour Majority, aid >= 0.6% GNI
1%
Not Labour Majority, aid < 0.6% GNI
Ṁ180
Ṁ260
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will fast-growng broiler chickens still be legal by the end of the parlaiment?
77%
Labour Majority, Fast-growing chickens legal
21%
Labour Majority, Fast-growing chickens illegal
0.9%
Not Labour Majority, Fast-growing chickens legal
0.9%
Not Labour Majority, Fast-growing chickens illegal
Ṁ260