Will a UK General Election be held during Q2 2024?
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Will a UK General Election be held with a polling date between 1st April and 30th June 2024?

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For a general election to be held in the second quarter of 2024, ending June 30th 2024, it must be called (announced) no later than May 26th 2024.

Election must be called by 22nd May for this to resolve YES, I will pull forward resolve date to first week of June.

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@mattyb

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has said his “working assumption” is that a general election will take place in the second half of the year.

Elections ahead for Hertfordshire voters as parties vye for power across the county

predicts NO

BBC: Rishi Sunak suggests general election in second half of year

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-67883242

predicts YES

Multiple small signals point to May; first the budget, and now various delays on promised reports:

Emily Thornberry, the shadow attorney general, said: “One of the ways we know the government is gearing up for an election in May is that they have started running down the clock on all kinds of publications in the hope of delaying disclosure until the purdah period kicks in."

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/dec/29/uk-ministers-asked-to-explain-fourth-delay-to-covid-wine-cellar-report

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