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🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

🇺🇸 US Politics

🗳️ Politics

👴 Trump

Joe Biden will be photographed looking directly at the eclipse

'biden':2 'direct':7 'eclips':10 'joe':1 'look':6 'photograph':5

More than 25 Congress members will tweet about the eclipse

'25':3 'congress':4 'eclips':10 'member':5 'tweet':7

It will be at least mostly sunny in Burlington, VT during the eclipse

'burlington':9 'eclips':13 'least':5 'most':6 'sunni':7 'vt':10

Justin Trudeau will be photographed looking at the eclipse

'eclips':9 'justin':1 'look':6 'photograph':5 'trudeau':2

There will be a news story about people not seeing the eclipse at totality because of heavy traffic

'eclips':12 'heavi':17 'news':5 'peopl':8 'see':10 'stori':6 'total':14 'traffic':18

Bernie Sanders will be photographed watching the eclipse

'berni':1 'eclips':8 'photograph':5 'sander':2 'watch':6

There will be a news story about at least one person who wore knock-off eclipse glasses which resulted in injury to their eye 

'eclips':17 'eye':25 'glass':18 'injuri':22 'knock':15 'knock-off':14 'least':9 'news':5 'one':10 'person':11 'result':20 'stori':6 'wore':13

There will be a news story about animals behaving strangely 

'anim':8 'behav':9 'news':5 'stori':6 'strang':10

Thanks to our sacrifices, the Sun will return from behind the terrible shadow and world will not be plunged into eternal darkness

'behind':10 'dark':22 'etern':21 'plung':19 'return':8 'sacrific':4 'shadow':13 'sun':6 'terribl':12 'thank':1 'world':15

Trump will criticize Biden for something related to the eclipse before the end of Monday 

'biden':4 'critic':3 'eclips':10 'end':13 'monday':15 'relat':7 'someth':6 'trump':1

"Eclipse" gets over 2x the peak Google Trends interest of "Earthquake" with these parameters: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=US&q=Eclipse,Earthquake&hl=en

'/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=us&q=eclipse,earthquake&hl=en':17 '2x':4 'earthquak':11 'eclips':1 'get':2 'googl':7 'interest':9 'paramet':14 'peak':6 'trend':8 'trends.google.com':16 'trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=us&q=eclipse,earthquake&hl=en':15

"Eclipse" gets over 4x the peak Google Trends interest of "Earthquake" with these parameters: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=US&q=Eclipse,Earthquake&hl=en

'/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=us&q=eclipse,earthquake&hl=en':17 '4x':4 'earthquak':11 'eclips':1 'get':2 'googl':7 'interest':9 'paramet':14 'peak':6 'trend':8 'trends.google.com':16 'trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=us&q=eclipse,earthquake&hl=en':15

There will be a news story about someone whose vision was permanently damaged by looking at the eclipse 

'damag':13 'eclips':18 'look':15 'news':5 'perman':12 'someon':8 'stori':6 'vision':10 'whose':9

At MIT, at least 100 people will see a partial eclipse

'100':5 'eclips':11 'least':4 'mit':2 'partial':10 'peopl':6 'see':8

An earthquake (magnitude 4 or higher) occurs in an area while covered by totality

'4':4 'area':10 'cover':12 'earthquak':2 'higher':6 'magnitud':3 'occur':7 'total':14

Ground News aggregates a news story page with at least 3 sources about an injury or a fight breaking out at Niagara Falls on April 8th.

'3':11 '8th':26 'aggreg':3 'april':25 'break':19 'fall':23 'fight':18 'ground':1 'injuri':15 'least':10 'news':2,5 'niagara':22 'page':7 'sourc':12 'stori':6

CNN, Fox News, and March Madness Championship will mention the eclipse on live TV

'championship':7 'cnn':1 'eclips':11 'fox':2 'live':13 'mad':6 'march':5 'mention':9 'news':3 'tv':14

“Total Eclipse of the Heart” will be in the top 10 streamed songs on Spotify in the U.S. on 4/8/24 

'10':11 '4/8/24':20 'eclips':2 'heart':5 'song':13 'spotifi':15 'stream':12 'top':10 'total':1 'u.s':18

“Total Eclipse of the Heart” will be in the top 20 streamed songs on Spotify in the U.S. on 4/8/24

'20':11 '4/8/24':20 'eclips':2 'heart':5 'song':13 'spotifi':15 'stream':12 'top':10 'total':1 'u.s':18

“Total Eclipse of the Heart” will be in the top 50 streamed songs on Spotify in the U.S. on 4/8/24

'4/8/24':20 '50':11 'eclips':2 'heart':5 'song':13 'spotifi':15 'stream':12 'top':10 'total':1 'u.s':18

“Total Eclipse of the Heart” will be in the top 100 streamed songs on Spotify in the U.S. on 4/8/24

'100':11 '4/8/24':20 'eclips':2 'heart':5 'song':13 'spotifi':15 'stream':12 'top':10 'total':1 'u.s':18

'attack':3 'day':7 'eclips':6 'happen':4 'violent':2

A news reporter accidentally calls it a lunar eclipse (instead of solar) on live TV / livestream

'accident':4 'call':5 'eclips':9 'instead':10 'live':14 'livestream':16 'lunar':8 'news':2 'report':3 'solar':12 'tv':15

There will be at least one news story about (a) massive traffic jam(s) following the eclipse 

'eclips':17 'follow':15 'jam':13 'least':5 'massiv':11 'news':7 'one':6 'stori':8 'traffic':12

'declar':3 'govern':2 'law':5 'martial':4

Bitcoin surpass 73000 before the full eclipse happen at NYC

'73000':3 'bitcoin':1 'eclips':7 'full':6 'happen':8 'nyc':10 'surpass':2

Bitcoin drop below 70000 before the full eclipse happen at NYC

'70000':4 'bitcoin':1 'drop':2 'eclips':8 'full':7 'happen':9 'nyc':11

Taylor Swift will be photographed looking at the eclipse

'eclips':9 'look':6 'photograph':5 'swift':2 'taylor':1

terrorist attack happen at one of the popular eclipse watching site

'attack':2 'eclips':9 'happen':3 'one':5 'popular':8 'site':11 'terrorist':1 'watch':10

Eclipse

🌌 Space

Short fuse

talk to a stranger about something they're passionate about

'passion':9 're':8 'someth':6 'stranger':4 'talk':1

pop up cult materialises — at least 5 people acting odd conspicuously together

'5':7 'act':9 'conspicu':11 'cult':3 'least':6 'materialis':4 'odd':10 'peopl':8 'pop':1 'togeth':12

get invited to a cuddle puddle (or similar activity)

'activ':9 'cuddl':5 'get':1 'invit':2 'puddl':6 'similar':8

attend an Austin LW/SSC or Manifold meetup

'attend':1 'austin':3 'lw/ssc':4 'manifold':6 'meetup':7

go to a show at the Comedy Mothership (Austin)

'austin':9 'comedi':7 'go':1 'mothership':8 'show':4

referred to by a stranger in Austin as "sweetheart" or "darlin"

'austin':7 'darlin':11 'refer':1 'stranger':5 'sweetheart':9

meet someone new who is going to Manifest

'go':6 'manifest':8 'meet':1 'new':3 'someon':2

go to a park on the Colorado River (while in Austin)

'austin':11 'colorado':7 'go':1 'park':4 'river':8

You see someone carrying a revolver on their hip

'carri':4 'hip':9 'revolv':6 'see':2 'someon':3

Eat breakfast at [Snooze, Phoebe's, Counter Cafe, Hillside Farmacy, or 24 Diner] (Austin)

'24':12 'austin':14 'breakfast':2 'cafe':8 'counter':7 'diner':13 'eat':1 'farmaci':10 'hillsid':9 'phoeb':5 'snooz':4

Meet someone new who bet in a previous travel bingo market

'bet':5 'bingo':10 'market':11 'meet':1 'new':3 'previous':8 'someon':2 'travel':9

watch the bats swarm out from Congress Bridge at sundown (Austin)

'austin':11 'bat':3 'bridg':8 'congress':7 'sundown':10 'swarm':4 'watch':1

eat a soup - any soup - that's better than pat's soup

'better':8 'eat':1 'pat':10 'soup':3,5,12

You see people dressing for the Purkinje Effect during the eclipse (bright red and green)

'bright':12 'dress':4 'eclips':11 'effect':8 'green':15 'peopl':3 'purkinj':7 'red':13 'see':2

'form':4 'offer':2 'psychedel':6 'someon':1

Hear any distinctive clinking associated with enthusiastic use of whipped cream chargers

'associ':5 'charger':12 'clink':4 'cream':11 'distinct':3 'enthusiast':7 'hear':1 'use':8 'whip':10

See someone looking at the eclipse without eye protection

'eclips':6 'eye':8 'look':3 'protect':9 'see':1 'someon':2 'without':7

Walk around the Texas State Capitol building (Austin)

'around':2 'austin':8 'build':7 'capitol':6 'state':5 'texa':4 'walk':1

'arcad':2 'austin':6 'cidercad':5 'game':3 'play':1

'austin':4 'breakfast':2 'eat':1 'taco':3

Do the Hotel del Coronado “ghost tour“ (SD)

'coronado':5 'del':4 'ghost':6 'hotel':3 'sd':8 'tour':7

Visit the Ladybird Johnson Wildflower Center (Austin)

'austin':7 'center':6 'johnson':4 'ladybird':3 'visit':1 'wildflow':5

go to the Chili's at 45th and Lamar (Austin)

'45th':7 'austin':10 'chili':4 'go':1 'lamar':9

meet someone who works for an Elon Musk company (Tesla, Neuralink etc.)

'compani':9 'elon':7 'etc':12 'meet':1 'musk':8 'neuralink':11 'someon':2 'tesla':10 'work':4

eclipse view obstructed or diminished by bad weather/clouds

'bad':7 'diminish':5 'eclips':1 'obstruct':3 'view':2 'weather/clouds':8

'beach':3 'black':1 'near':4 'pine':6 'sd':7 'torrey':5

'hike':1 'pine':4 'reserv':5 'sd':6 'torrey':3

Scuba diving at the La Jolla Underwater Park (ride the rides, play the midway games of chance and skill) (SD)

'chanc':17 'dive':2 'game':15 'jolla':6 'la':5 'midway':14 'park':8 'play':12 'ride':9,11 'scuba':1 'sd':20 'skill':19 'underwat':7

Get ticketed or warned for jaywalking (Austin) 

'austin':7 'get':1 'jaywalk':6 'ticket':2 'warn':4

Be on a table that a person is not meant to be on

Someone at Vibecamp manipulates this market for at least 200 mana of profit

'200':10 'least':9 'mana':11 'manipul':4 'market':6 'profit':13 'someon':1 'vibecamp':3

Someone shares about their parts (IFS) unprompted

'if':6 'part':5 'share':2 'someon':1 'unprompt':7

You eat a vegan/vegetarian meat substitute (e.g. Beyond Meat) 

'beyond':8 'e.g':7 'eat':2 'meat':5,9 'substitut':6 'vegan/vegetarian':4

3+ people join Manifold because of this market

'3':1 'join':3 'manifold':4 'market':8 'peopl':2

Get stuck in line for > 10 minutes on the way in to Vibeclipse

'10':6 'get':1 'line':4 'minut':7 'stuck':2 'vibeclips':13 'way':10

'awkward':3 'contact':4 'improv':5 'moment':6

Show up to an event to find out the title does not represent what the event actually is

'actual':17 'event':5,16 'find':7 'repres':13 'show':1 'titl':10

Barter for non-trivial goods and/or services (at Vibecamp)

'and/or':7 'barter':1 'good':6 'non':4 'non-trivi':3 'servic':8 'trivial':5 'vibecamp':10

Someone at vibecamp guesses what the map is without any hints

'guess':4 'hint':11 'map':7 'someon':1 'vibecamp':3 'without':9

Get a second VC Bingo at any time on trip

'bingo':5 'get':1 'second':3 'time':8 'trip':10 'vc':4

'bingo':5 'get':1 'third':3 'time':8 'trip':10 'vc':4

'chip':4 'hike':1 'potato':3 'rock':5 'sd':6

Go to Balboa Park in San Diego and see someone feeding the giant goldfish

'balboa':3 'diego':7 'feed':11 'giant':13 'go':1 'goldfish':14 'park':4 'san':6 'see':9 'someon':10

See a Boucher painting restored live at the Timken (SD)

'boucher':3 'live':6 'paint':4 'restor':5 'sd':10 'see':1 'timken':9

Go to Kindred death metal bar/brunchery (SD)

'bar/brunchery':6 'death':4 'go':1 'kindr':3 'metal':5 'sd':7

'bad':6 'groan':3 'hear':1 'pun':7 'someon':2

'good':6 'groan':3 'hear':1 'pun':7 'someon':2

Get a fourth VC bingo at any time on trip

'bingo':5 'fourth':3 'get':1 'time':8 'trip':10 'vc':4

Prop Bets

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'cloud':1 'eclips':5 'entir':2 'obscur':3

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Meteorology

A solar eclipse will be visible in much of North America on Monday, beginning around 11 AM PT and traveling Northeast until around 12:30 PM PT. 

The continental US is fortunate to have the path of totality cross it again just a few years after the last total eclipse in 2017, and this will not happen again until 2044. 

You can also follow the event on Manifold TV with live coverage from NASA starting at 10 AM PT: 

Total Eclipse

'eclips':2 'total':1

NASA Eclipse Explorer

vibecamp

Astronomy fans figuring out where and what time to see the April 8, 2024, total solar eclipse could check out maps showing the path of totality.

Solar eclipse maps show 2024 totality path, peak times and how much of the eclipse people could see across the U.S.

There’s literally only one rule with eclipses: Don’t look at the sun during them.

Yes, Donald Trump really did look into the sky during the solar eclipse | CNN Politics

April 8 could be your best opportunity to see a total solar eclipse for decades. But if clouds fill the sky, you may miss the spectacle.