April 8th Eclipse Predictions (ADD YOURS)
137
1.1K
8.4K
resolved Apr 10
Resolved
YES
More than 25 Congress members will tweet about the eclipse
Resolved
YES
It will be at least mostly sunny in Burlington, VT during the eclipse
Resolved
YES
Justin Trudeau will be photographed looking at the eclipse
Resolved
YES
Bernie Sanders will be photographed watching the eclipse
Resolved
YES
There will be a news story about animals behaving strangely
Resolved
YES
Thanks to our sacrifices, the Sun will return from behind the terrible shadow and world will not be plunged into eternal darkness
Resolved
YES
"Eclipse" gets over 2x the peak Google Trends interest of "Earthquake" with these parameters: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=US&q=Eclipse,Earthquake&hl=en
Resolved
YES
At MIT, at least 100 people will see a partial eclipse
Resolved
YES
CNN, Fox News, and March Madness Championship will mention the eclipse on live TV
Resolved
YES
“Total Eclipse of the Heart” will be in the top 50 streamed songs on Spotify in the U.S. on 4/8/24
Resolved
YES
“Total Eclipse of the Heart” will be in the top 100 streamed songs on Spotify in the U.S. on 4/8/24
Resolved
YES
There will be at least one news story about (a) massive traffic jam(s) following the eclipse
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk tweet about the eclipse
Resolved
N/A
A violent attack happens on eclipse day
Resolved
NO
Joe Biden will be photographed looking directly at the eclipse
Resolved
NO
There will be a news story about people not seeing the eclipse at totality because of heavy traffic
Resolved
NO
There will be a news story about at least one person who wore knock-off eclipse glasses which resulted in injury to their eye
Resolved
NO
Trump will criticize Biden for something related to the eclipse before the end of Monday
Resolved
NO
"Eclipse" gets over 4x the peak Google Trends interest of "Earthquake" with these parameters: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&geo=US&q=Eclipse,Earthquake&hl=en
Resolved
NO
There will be a news story about someone whose vision was permanently damaged by looking at the eclipse

Predictions for the eclipse next week. Feel free to add your own.

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A violent attack happens on eclipse day

Shouldn't this be no?

@noney I believe there was an attack, there's a reply somewhere here that links to it.

Resolved those last two, to the best of my knowledge there's no evidence of a reported mistakenly calling it a "lunar" eclipse and there were no articles about there people missing the eclipse due to traffic before the cut-off time. Willing to re-resolve if evidence is brought forth!

I can still find zero news articles about a specific person who had their eyes damaged due to the Apr 8 eclipse.

@chris I feel like it should be resolved "no" since by April 9th there hasn't been such an article, bu I'd like for whoever submitted that particular one to weigh in first.

@Reddit that's my take as well

@chris I submitted it

Resolved Spotify U.S. chart questions, ”Total Eclipse of the Heart” hit #36 in the US

https://uproxx.com/pop/solar-eclipse-2024-bonnie-tyler-spotify-song/

https://charts.spotify.com/charts/view/regional-us-daily/latest

Resolved the question about Congress tweeting to ‘YES‘ by going one-by-one alphabetically. I don't have time to finish my spreadsheet, but out of 61 senators, 25 tweeted about it, which is enough to resolve this market.

It will be at least mostly sunny in Burlington, VT during the eclipse

why did this resolve N/A? I was in Burlington and can confirm it was "at least mostly sunny", and have contemporaneous reports to verify: https://www.reddit.com/r/burlington/comments/1bz9z2x/regardless_of_eclipse_it_was_a_1010_day_in_btv/

@pyrylium I was also in the area! This was definitely a yes, I'm not sure who resolved it but I would like to know their reasoning as well. I think this model was very accurate WRT the clouds yesterday, but there are a lot of overzealous models floating around. https://twitter.com/Eweather13/status/1775947892236202153

@Reddit Oh I can re-resolve, my mistake. I saw some contradictory reports but I think it is indeed a yes.

CNN, Fox News, and March Madness Championship will mention the eclipse on live TV

This happened with around 7:41 left in the second half of the NCAA final, if I remember correctly.

There will be a news story about animals behaving strangely
Ground News aggregates a news story page with at least 3 sources about an injury or a fight breaking out at Niagara Falls on April 8th.

@Reddit This can be resolved NO. If a story doesn't exist by now, I doubt it ever will.

There will be a news story about someone whose vision was permanently damaged by looking at the eclipse

I can't find any article about someone specifically having this happen to them.

I have also read that the damage appears the next day. It's quite possible we won't have an April 8 article about this so this will probably resolve NO

“Total Eclipse of the Heart” will be in the top 50 streamed songs on Spotify in the U.S. on 4/8/24

Spotify's USA Top chart has it at 36 today, but idk if that's enough to resolve

Good lawd the traffic today on the return journey was terrible. A 2.5 hour projected return journey turned into a 9 hour one.

Mods, please feel free to help with resolutions, I would greatly appreciate any help ❤️

bought Ṁ500 The government decla... NO

@Reddit Hello. It appears that martial law has not been declared

@nmw Thanks!

“Total Eclipse of the Heart” will be in the top 100 streamed songs on Spotify in the U.S. on 4/8/24
Bitcoin drop below 70000 before the full eclipse happen at NYC
bought Ṁ900 Bitcoin drop below 7... NO

resolves No