The efforts tracked in these markets are informed by Elizabeth's post 

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fFY2HeC9i2Tx8FEnK/luck-based-medicine-my-resentful-story-of-becoming-a-medical

. A lot of these efforts won't work. Most of them are more likely than not to do nothing. But if one thing does work that would net me massive heaps of utility.

Biology is messy, let's just try everything

A shotgun approach

A lot of markets in this group have pretty fuzzy resolution criteria, so I want to note that I will not be trading on anything I add to this group