Which company will buy TikTok? (resolves only if/when divested from China) | Manifold

Which company will buy TikTok? (resolves only if/when divested from China)

203

7.7kṀ17k

2050

37%

Other

13%

Oracle

8%

Amazon

8%

Meta

5%

Microsoft

5%

X

3%

Bobby Kotick

3%

Pershing Square Capital / Bill Ackman

3%

General Atlantic

3%

Susquehanna International Group

3%

Steve Mnuchin/Liberty Strategic Capital

1.9%

Alphabet

1.2%

Snap

1.1%

Sequoia Capital

3/8/24: Current plan in case of multiple parties: If multiple parties get shares, I'll resolve in proportion to the stake of all non-Chinese parties who get more than 5% (i.e. a reportable ownership share), unless someone buys a controlling stake, in which case it'll resolve to them alone.

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If the TikTok ban takes effect, will ByteDance divest it OR shut it down in the U.S?

Will the FTC attempt to block a TikTok acquisition, if one is attempted?

If TikTok is sold, will the algorithm be included in the sale?

How much will TikTok sell for, in billions of dollars, if sold by the end of 2025?

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