CoolFold

Welcome to #CoolFold ! A movement to create fun and unconventional prediction experiences for the Manifold community. There are many markets in the Spirit of CoolFold, and you can find some of the most significant examples below. Sometimes we push the limit a bit too hard, currently responsible for at least two server errors.

CoolFold Leaderboard: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards?topic=coolfold

66%
ProShares UltraPro QQQ / TQQQ (PICKED)
60%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF / SPY (PICKED)
60%
Google/Alphabet stock GOOG (PICKED)
60%
Nvidia stock NVDA
28%
Jersey number of the Heisman trophy winner
37%
Jersey number of the Cy Young award winner
41%
Jersey number of the NBA rookie of the year
41%
Number of president executive orders in 2025

🆒CoolFold 30 Challenge: 30 Questions Ending 2030

🔗 https://manifold.markets/dashboard/the-coolfold-30-challenge

5%
Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)
6%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
7%
Bitcoin reaches $100K USD
10%
Book of Mormon ends on Broadway
97%
PASSED AWAITING APPROVAL: Donate it all to Givewell
93%
PASSED AWAITING APPROVAL: Donate 50% to GiveWell, 50% to Internet Archive
82%
Proposal: representative security council! Add at least one member with <20k net worth
81%
Proposal: add @Stralor to the security council
See more questions: