CoolFold

Welcome to #CoolFold ! A movement to create fun and unconventional prediction experiences for the Manifold community. There are many markets in the Spirit of CoolFold, and you can find some of the most significant examples below. Sometimes we push the limit a bit too hard, currently responsible for at least two server errors.

CoolFold Leaderboard: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards?topic=coolfold

8.3k
CoolFold Financial Advice: Suggest Investments for Me & Predict their ROI in 6 months, invest & win real money!
Resolved
99.0%
Facebook stock META (PICKED)
Resolved
99.0%
Apple stock AAPL
Resolved
99.0%
Nvidia stock NVDA
Resolved
99.0%
Tesla stock TSLA
See 53 more answers
3.5k
CoolFold 25 Challenge: What will these 25 values be at EOY 2025?
88%
Bitcoin value (eg 50K would be 50%)
14%
Number of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic hurricane season
36%
Last 2 digits of Minecraft Bedrock's most recent patch (eg 1.50.30 would be 30%)
60%
Highest Number of Home Runs hit by a single player in 2025 MLB season
See 21 more answers

🆒CoolFold 30 Challenge: 30 Questions Ending 2030

🔗 https://manifold.markets/dashboard/the-coolfold-30-challenge

20k
CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (8/100 DONE)
10%
Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)
10%
The first $5T market cap company
13%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
13%
Sagrada Familia Church completed
See 99 more answers
CoolFold Charity: All-Pay Auction 2024 - Fortune Cookie Edition (HIGHEST BID - M250)Ṁ500 bounty
Ṁ500
CoolFold Charity: 50/50 Raffle 2024Ṁ0 bounty
Ṁ0
TacticalNuclearManaSpiritBomb [ARMED, CHARGING]Ṁ12,482 bounty
Ṁ12k
6.7k
Mission Control: How should we use the TacticalNuclearManaSpiritBomb?
97%
Proposal: representative security council! Add at least one member with <20k net worth
95%
Proposal: Donate it all to MSF / Doctors without Borders
94%
Proposal: add @Stralor to the security council
93%
Donate to Mriya https://manifold.markets/ArtemAvramenko/will-the-mriya-fund-raise-2-million?r=TG9yZWxhaQ
See 63 more answers
⃣⃣⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024? (69% DONE)POLL
Yes
No
1k
⃣⃣⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?NO
21k
CoolFold Self Immolation: How many users will burn all their mana balance to protest the pivot? [SACRIFICE YOURSELF]
100%74%
11
0.1%
00
0.1%
01
0.1%
02
See 18 more answers
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