🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (1/100 DONE)
176
2.1K
19K
2120
5%
Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)
6%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
7%
Bitcoin reaches $100K USD
10%
Book of Mormon ends on Broadway
11%
Shrek 5 releases
12%
Kingdom Hearts 4 releases
13%
Death Stranding 2 releases
15%
Civilization 7 releases
17%
Sagrada Familia Church completed
18%
Grimace Shake returns to McDonalds
18%
One piece manga ends
18%
Another MLB perfect game pitched
18%
Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases
19%
Family Guy ends
20%
Skibidi Toilet ends
20%
Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out
20%
Human runs official marathon under 2h
21%
Human walks on moon again
22%
Manifold reaches 20K MAU
23%
New Pope after Francis

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)

If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.

If there is a renumbering or new product (eg. the next Civilization game after 6 is named something else) I'll update the answers the best I can in the spirit of the question, a lot will change over 100+ years.

If an option becomes impossible, ask and I'll try to clarify in the answer text. If it cannot be done in a good way, we'll NA that option.

For the future mods that have to deal with this good luck.

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Sagrada Familia Church completed

theyre now claiming end of 2026 for this

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our first resolution 67 days after creation !

19th Doctor Who regenerates into 20th

Just clarifying — would this mean:

(A) [the previous incarnation that comes BEFORE the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the 20th Doctor],

or

(B) [the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the next incarnation that comes AFTER the 20th Doctor]?

And a similar "(A) or (B)?" for the "25th Doctor" question.

@PaintspotInfez the 20th one is revealed and becomes the new one , is what i meant

@strutheo - so (A) presumably. Got it! :D

First $100B revenue media franchise

the more i learn about this, it might have happened before the question was made, so i might NA/make another

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so close to our first one finally!

@strutheo What's the licensing agreement look like for, "Coolfold?"

@KeenenWatts haha you can dm me, anything in the true spirit of coolfold can use the #coolfold tag (maybe not be an official CoolFold challenge though)

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looking like sweden might be the first one!

@strutheo does anything which hasn't happened by 2120 resolve 100%, or will this market be extended?

@DanielTilkin im fine with it going on forever, thats for another generation to decide tbh

Olympics hosted in Japan again

@strutheo This could be summer or winter olympics, right? I assume things like the Youth Olympic Games don't count for this?

@DanielTilkin either summer or winter, no youth wont count

death stranding 2 trailer just dropped - looking at a 2025 release date

Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)

Assuming if Twitter ceases operations with Yaccarino at the helm, and never gets another CEO, this would count. Or if she leaves, and the CEO role never filled for some reason. Maybe Elon installs his brother as Grand Poobah.

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i'm going to take a snapshot of how this looks 1 month after creation, get your adjustments in by eom

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cool market

First asian USA president (as judged by self ID & manifold opinion after inauguration)

Clarify “Asian”? Would Vivek count? Would Kamala?

@lalaithion thanks for pointing out - meant East asian (neither would count afaik)

bought Ṁ10 of First asian USA pres... NO

@strutheo What about a hypothetical Filipino or Vietnamese president?

@lalaithion you know what get back to me when one is running lol. might just poll the site on their definition of 'asian' when the time comes

bought Ṁ25 of Burj Khalifa record ... YES

@strutheo A poll could be valuable. I, for one, don’t see why Vivek or Kamala wouldn’t fall under “Asian” without further qualifiers.

@jks valid ok, we'll change it to 'first asian president as judged by manifold'

@strutheo I think I'm too late to the party, but... using self-identification is undoubtedly nicer to people, which is in and of itself a reason to use it. Furthermore, it might also be easier and more practical.

@BrunoParga also a good idea!

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