🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (6/100 DONE)
196
20ká¹€38k
2120
7%
Death Stranding 2 releases
9%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
9%
USA discontinues or changes penny coin
10%
Book of Mormon ends on Broadway
10%
Shrek 5 releases
12%
Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire
14%
Sagrada Familia Church completed
14%
Another MLB perfect game pitched
16%
Half Life 3 releases
17%
The first $5T market cap company
17%
Human runs official marathon under 2h
17%
Skibidi Toilet ends
18%
a USA president impeached again
18%
One piece manga ends
18%
Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases
19%
Bitcoin reaches $150K USD
20%
Putin no longer in power in Russia
20%
Burj Khalifa record for tallest building broken
20%
Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out
22%
Price of gold hits $5000/oz

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)

If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.

If there is a renumbering or new product (eg. the next Civilization game after 6 is named something else) I'll update the answers the best I can in the spirit of the question, a lot will change over 100+ years.

If an option becomes impossible, ask and I'll try to clarify in the answer text. If it cannot be done in a good way, we'll NA that option.

For the future mods that have to deal with this good luck.

  • Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Options related to Monthly Active Users (MAU) are being removed from the market due to changes in the relevant statistics.

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opened a á¹€1,000 YES at 69% order

I have green eyes and there's a non-zero chance I could become the president so watch out

The Pope one can resolve to 6% — Pope Leo XIV has been popified.

removing the MAU ones because stats have changed.

@strutheo By American copyright law? It seems at least Love Me Do entered the public domain in the EU in 2013.

@strutheo Released Feb. 11, resolves 5%

reposted

This is one of my favorite markets, 4/100 events done so far.

bought á¹€500 NO

@strutheo Bitcoin has hit 100k

@strutheo Mario 64 has a 120 star speedrun in 1:35:28

https://www.speedrun.com/sm64

@strutheo

120 star just hit

shrek 5 just announced for 2026 some time

apparently likely to happen some time after the US adds the 52nd state

bought á¹€10 NO

Haha, I'll arb that

coming up soon

Happening Thursday

good find haha

uhoh (not canceled yet though!)

theyre now claiming end of 2026 for this

reposted

our first resolution 67 days after creation !

Just clarifying — would this mean:

(A) [the previous incarnation that comes BEFORE the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the 20th Doctor],

or

(B) [the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the next incarnation that comes AFTER the 20th Doctor]?

And a similar "(A) or (B)?" for the "25th Doctor" question.

@PaintspotInfez the 20th one is revealed and becomes the new one , is what i meant

@strutheo - so (A) presumably. Got it! :D

the more i learn about this, it might have happened before the question was made, so i might NA/make another

reposted

so close to our first one finally!

@strutheo What's the licensing agreement look like for, "Coolfold?"

@KeenenWatts haha you can dm me, anything in the true spirit of coolfold can use the #coolfold tag (maybe not be an official CoolFold challenge though)

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