This market works as follows. Each answer represents one investment idea. Each answer will eventually resolve to a percent, which will be the ROI after 6 months starting on May 1st 2024. Each 1% above/below 50% represents 1/2 point gained/lost over 6 months.
100% indicates a return of 25% after 6 months
80% indicates a return of 15% after 6 months
70% indicates a return of 10% after 6 months
50% indicates a return of 0% after 6 months
30% indicates a return of -10% after 6 months
20% indicates a return of -15% after 6 months
0% indicates a return of -25% after 6 months
On May 1st I'll put $500 into each of the top 10 choices on this list. If there is any profit after 6 months, I will share 5% of it among the top 5 spots on this market's leaderboard in a manner TBD!
Additional Rules
Must be able to be easily invested in by an average USA citizen
Can be refused for having 2 or less bettors on it or being added last second
I reserve the right to refuse any suggestion
JIMMY CARTER PINS - I am doing a side investment of $100 for 100 pins. Predict the ROI to the best of your ability, but it won't be chosen if it is in the top 10
MAGIC THE GATHERING PACKS - I am doing a side investment of $150 for two unopened The Dark booster packs. Predict the ROI to the best of your ability, but it won't be chosen if it is in the top 10
LINK: Click for tracking spreadsheet
Related:
Related questions
TWO DAYS LEFT until i commit $5K to manifold's top picks here.
reminder this is subsidized AND i am sharing some of the real-money profit with the top 5 traders on the market leaderboard, so get your bets in now and throughout the 6 month window
I saw your questions re the wine and watches investments and I think those are not suitable for what you have in mind. However it made me think of this one:
https://www.masterworks.com/ you CAN buy shares in contemporary art pieces online.and I think it might be fun
@Odoacre i have thought about this one and looked at a few similar websites, unfortunately idk if it works on the 6 months time frame, ill apply for the account though
@strutheo ok look slike it would take too long to get verified on these websites, also id have to put a lot more time into which art in particular
@strutheo I think it does not really matter which art you put money into, unless you're an expert. Just pick the pretty picture you like
lots of tech stocks dropped today (on this market)
2 days to get those last bets in , give me good advice pls
/strutheo/will-my-coolfold-financial-portfoli
FEW DAYS LEFT! top 10 so far (subject to change)
BRK.B
GOOG
DPZ
QCOM
UPRO
TQQQ
SPY
NVDA
META
BTC
predict total ROI of the ten investments after 6 months here:
Same for this one - i will do a side investment of 2x packs for $150, so i will not choose it here. please predict the ROI correctly, dont try to get it in the top 10!
ok ive decided i am doing these as a side investment at $100, so they will not be chosen for this market even if in the top 10, and wont count toward the ROI tracker. BUT i might make some new markets about them specifically stay tuned
i encourage everyone to bet the actual ROI they think it should be! cc @ZacParker
🤔 @ZacParker convinced me to try a little experiment even if it doesnt make the top 10
/strutheo/will-i-regret-buying-100-cartermond
Again, the failure scenario here is you get to drink the wine.
(you do have to invest in a wine fridge/pay fees to someone that will provide proper storage)
