📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024? (63% DONE) | Manifold

📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024? (63% DONE)

319

Jan 1

Yes

No

Questions About This Poll:

🔗 /strutheo/will-the-majority-of-manifold-users

🔗 /strutheo/will-this-poll-asking-if-it-will-re

🔗 /strutheo/will-manifold-users-that-respond-to

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Manifold Users

#Public Opinion

#500 Poll Experiment

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reposted

I still believe

@jks +2% its accelerating

alert the chronicler @chris

@strutheo It's been a while

reposted

24 days remain!

reposted

60%
poll stans need to get it together! <1 month left

reposted

59%!

reposted

58%

55% 😌

reposted

Over halfway!

reposted

52%!!!!!

reposted

bump, at 50.4%

reposted

Bump

reposted

49% done

reposted

bump! still at 39% done

Nice little jump to 46

reposted

39%

reposted

bump! 37.4% complete

Somebody must have stopped manipulating this poll. No movement in quite a while

@chris new algorithm

@strutheo We were averaging roughly 1 person on this poll per day, now we haven't seen anyone in over a week... really odd.

reposted

34%

My expected value at end of year is currently 451

reposted

Buying up low probability markets around this poll then boosting it seems +EV? Who knows.

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5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?

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