📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024? (59% DONE) | Manifold

📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024? (59% DONE)

299

Jan 1

Yes

No

Questions About This Poll:

🔗 /strutheo/will-the-majority-of-manifold-users

🔗 /strutheo/will-this-poll-asking-if-it-will-re

🔗 /strutheo/will-manifold-users-that-respond-to

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Manifold Users

#Public Opinion

#500 Poll Experiment

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1,000

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3.00

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reposted

59%!

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58%

55% 😌

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Over halfway!

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52%!!!!!

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bump, at 50.4%

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Bump

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49% done

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bump! still at 39% done

Nice little jump to 46

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39%

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bump! 37.4% complete

Somebody must have stopped manipulating this poll. No movement in quite a while

@chris new algorithm

@strutheo We were averaging roughly 1 person on this poll per day, now we haven't seen anyone in over a week... really odd.

reposted

34%

My expected value at end of year is currently 451

reposted

Buying up low probability markets around this poll then boosting it seems +EV? Who knows.

reposted

29.6% complete

this poll looking jealous: /strutheo/would-you-have-sex-with-a-robot

28%

@strutheo Updated here

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24% done

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5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?

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Related questions

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the majority of respondents to this poll think that it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?

One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?

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